USD/JPY Analysis - page 2

 

I thought the price would be more dynamic, but now it moves very inertly. I expected more.

 

 
Next target is 100.00 again, at the very least.
 

Weekly US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPYAs of 29/07/16

 

A big bearish black candle has formed. Prices closed considerably lower than open. If the candle appears when prices are "high," it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area, a moving average, trend line, or price resistance level, the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Likewise, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 5 white candles versus 5 black candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 24 white candles versus 26 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.

A engulfing bearish line has formed where a black candle's real body completely contains the previous white candle's real body. The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend. It signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears. 

If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend (which is the case with US Dollar / Japanese Yen), it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle's real body.MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

 The MACD crossed below the signal line 33 week(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has decreased 15.67%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 123.538 to a low of 99.075.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

 No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy 10 Week(s) Ago.

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy  2 week(s) ago.

 

Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen are not diverging.

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

 

 The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL 48 week(s) ago.

There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell 6 week(s) ago.

The close is currently

BELOW its 200 weekly moving average

BELOW its 50 weekly moving average

BELOW its 20 weekly moving average

  The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 14.1%.  Bollinger Bands are 40.94% wider than normal. 

 
The USDJPY breaks below the 103.00 level and it may continue dropping to the 100 level.
 

Daily US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 29/07/16

*** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy: SELL US Dollar / Japanese Yen

Sell Target: 100.8193  

Enter New SELL on OPEN and exit SELL positions at Target price or at Stop price.

(NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!

 

A big bearish black candle has formed. Prices closed considerably lower than open. If the candle appears when prices are "high," it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area, a moving average, trend line, or price resistance level, the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Likewise, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 5 white candles versus 5 black candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 21 white candles versus 29 black candles with a net of 8 black candles.

MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

 The MACD crossed below the signal line 0 day(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has been unchanged, and has been fluctuating from a high of 105.518 to a low of 101.969.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

 No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 4 Day(s) Ago.

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 14 day(s) ago.

 

 The RSI has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 day(s). This is BEARISH signal.

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

The DMI BUY reference point was crossed. If you are still buying, this might be a good place to stop out and prevent losses.

 The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a BUY 11 day(s) ago.

There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell 1 day(s) ago.

The close is currently

BELOW its 200 daily moving average

BELOW its 50 daily moving average

BELOW its 20 daily moving average

  The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 24.9%.  Bollinger Bands are 53.49% wider than normal. 

 

 

Daily US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 29/07/16

*** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy: SELL US Dollar / Japanese Yen

Sell Target: 100.8193  

Enter New SELL on OPEN and exit SELL positions at Target price or at Stop price.

(NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!

 

A big bearish black candle has formed. Prices closed considerably lower than open. If the candle appears when prices are "high," it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area, a moving average, trend line, or price resistance level, the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Likewise, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 5 white candles versus 5 black candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 21 white candles versus 29 black candles with a net of 8 black candles.

MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

 The MACD crossed below the signal line 0 day(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has been unchanged, and has been fluctuating from a high of 105.518 to a low of 101.969.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

 No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 4 Day(s) Ago.

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 14 day(s) ago.

 

 The RSI has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 day(s). This is BEARISH signal.

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

The DMI BUY reference point was crossed. If you are still buying, this might be a good place to stop out and prevent losses.

 The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a BUY 11 day(s) ago.

There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell 1 day(s) ago.

The close is currently

BELOW its 200 daily moving average

BELOW its 50 daily moving average

BELOW its 20 daily moving average

  The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 24.9%.  Bollinger Bands are 53.49% wider than normal. 

 

 
Bearish on the pair.
 

Weekly US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 05/08/16

A black body has formed as prices closed lower than open.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 4 white candles versus 6 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 24 white candles versus 26 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.

A spinning top has formed which is a candle with a small real body. Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action as defined by the difference between the open and the close. During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.

 The MACD crossed below the signal line 34 week(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has decreased 15.86%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 123.538 to a low of 99.075.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

 No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy 11 Week(s) Ago.

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy  3 week(s) ago.

 

Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen are not diverging.

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

 

 The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL 49 week(s) ago.

There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell 7 week(s) ago.

The close is currently

BELOW its 200 weekly moving average

BELOW its 50 weekly moving average

BELOW its 20 weekly moving average

  The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 16.2%.  Bollinger Bands are 41.36% wider than normal. 

 

 
Good pullback on the USDJPY, but the 103.00 level may act as resistance and the pair may go back down.
 
I can’t see a favorable opening for a deal right now. Therefore, I’ll wait to see which of the variants is the right one.
Reason: