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Please do and let me know if I can be of any further assistance to you, anytime. Best wishes.
__________________
"Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" The Tao of Warren Buffett. "Avoiding mistakes, makes people STUPID and having to be RIGHT, makes you OBSOLETE." Robert Kiyosaki. |
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Joe's Entry
I have profited from trading the XO-Method and would like to now make a small contribution to this methodology. In addition to the normal XO-Method entries I have been applying a slightly modified technique to that popularized by noted US trader Stanley Kroll: Trade with the Major Trend; against the Minor Trend. For example if the Major Trend is UP Kroll waits for the Minor Trend to turn DOWN for his entry Long. What I have been doing a little differently is that I wait for the Minor Trend to hook back UP for my entry Long. Please excuse me egotistically calling this Joes Entry and here is how I am applying it within the XO-Method:
If the Major Trend (XO A) and Minor Trend (XO) are UP (i.e. 2-Green bars) I wait for the XO bars to move down against the Major Trend and my entry Long is at the Close of the first bar that hooks back up toward the Major Trend. Here are some of my observations from real trading: This entry will never be the 1st XO-Method entry but it provides excellent additional points to board an existing major move or a point to add to your position. I have only had this not work in 1 entry out of 20 times but still always use a close SL. This entry frequently precedes an intermediate XO-Method entry by several bars providing more pips total profit. Here are several examples from Thursday, 5/10/2007, with GMT times: 02:50 XO-Method intermediate entry not taken because MTF RSI<50 and STO too low. 07:15 a perfect example of a Joes Entry. It preceded the intermediate XO-Method entry at 08:00 by 45-minutes and your entry was 12-pips better. 08:00 XO-Method entry. 10:15 XO-Method entry. 11:05 Joes Entry not taken due to UK BOE Interest Rate Report. 12:00 Another good Joes Entry. It preceded the intermediate XO-Method entry by 1-bar and your entry was 7-pips better. 12:40 XO-Method intermediate entry not taken due to US Economic Reports at 12:30. 16:30 Joes Entry preceded the intermediate XO-Method entry by 1-bar and your entry was 13-pips better. 21:40 Another Joes Entry providing a 9-pip better entry. The bottom line appears to be that this entry can get you onboard a little early with a few extra pips profit. The caveat is that nothing in trading works 100% of the time so have a look at this and see if it fits into your trading style. Good trading, Joe SDF |
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Your entries as mentioned..........
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Welcome back on board again. Here are my comments in BLUE inside your posting. I am GMT+2 and therefore trust that my reading of your entries are correct. Best wishes.
__________________
"Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" The Tao of Warren Buffett. "Avoiding mistakes, makes people STUPID and having to be RIGHT, makes you OBSOLETE." Robert Kiyosaki. |
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I'm sorry if I sound uninformed, but I'm new at this, and repainting of the indicators on the current bar has made decision-making a bit difficult for me. |
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Hope this clears it up for you. Best wishes.
__________________
"Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" The Tao of Warren Buffett. "Avoiding mistakes, makes people STUPID and having to be RIGHT, makes you OBSOLETE." Robert Kiyosaki. |
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I'm sorry to interrupt your more serious trading discussion. I now understand that indicator movement during the formation of the current candle is NOT repainting. If I get your meaning correctly, backtesting an MTF indicator does not result in its recalculation. It's completely static, so the results should be predictable, just as displayed.
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So therefore, the results you see in back-testing only shows you how reliable the indicator is AFTER it has re-set it self (I hate the word "repaint" as most people using it frequently, have no clue what they are talking about). Hope this has finally cleared the cobwebs if any. Best wishes.
__________________
"Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" The Tao of Warren Buffett. "Avoiding mistakes, makes people STUPID and having to be RIGHT, makes you OBSOLETE." Robert Kiyosaki. |
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I like the MTF RSI indicator (I'm not sure of the exact name because I'm at work). When setting it at 240 (4 Hour) TF and watching it on the 5-Minute Chart, you get horizontal lines over a 4-hour period. The only one of these that moves up and down with the real-time price ticks is the one to the far right, while it is still forming. The rest of them are stable and you can tell how they behaved relative to prices all the way to the beginning of the data. That helps consider what might be happening next, based on whether the indicator is rising or falling (just the most recent horizontal line).
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Example of a Joe's Entry
In response to my Post #103 ValeoFX asked me to post a chart example of a Joes Entry; please find it below. This is a real trade I made this morning. First note that both the Major Trend (XO A) and Minor MTF Trends (XO) had been down for quite some time and this is what I look for as a precursor. Then at 12:45 GMT or 08:45 EDST the Minor Trend (XO) started reversing against the Major Trend. A Joes Entry occurred at 14:15 GMT or 10:15 EDST when the first XO bar hooked or reversed back to the Major Trend direction. My short entry got the price bar Close at 1.9814 which was 9-pips better than if you had waited until the 2-Red XO A and XO bar entry at 15:00 GMT or 11:00 EDST. I exited on a Stop at S1 for 40-pips profit. Not a bad mornings work.
Last edited by Joe SDF; 05-27-2008 at 04:23 PM. |
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