Quote:
Originally Posted by duyduy
Actually I draw the arrow my self..
Yes I agree with u, this method won't work in side ways..
So maybe someone in this thread will have idea, to improve this method?
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What we see and what we want to see sometimes itīs different.
By simple maths, an 1 simple moving average using close is lagged by one bar, an 1 exponential moving average using close is lagged by one bar.
Moving averages as the name implies, averages price action.
When you get a crossover it's because the average of one of the two moving averages is increasing, fast is the common one to increase.
When the shortest moving average crosses the largest we could suspect average price is changing faster. And, maybe this could be an increase in momentum.
Thatīs mean in the last x periods against z periods the average price was positive or negative increased.
So, short last average price (5 ema) is growing against long average price ( 21 EMA). In other words, the trend could be changing from negative average prices (down) to positive average prices (up).
After the cross, shortest average price could be positive and longest negative or vice versa. Our signal of a trend change.
The lag is proportional to how much average do you want to include and the mathematics involved.
A hullma does not calculate the average as a nonlagma, like EMA is not SMA, or JMA is not AMA. Every type of MA have their own formulas looking for someting or some special behavior under certain characteristics.
But all moving averages follows the price in one way or another.
The only indicators that lead the price are momentum style indicators which are more sensitive to price moves. The other side of what MAīs want to filter.
Also, is higly possible MAs does not work well without the right amplitude in price action.
So, for longest trend with angle, MAs are ok, for non trending/sideways markets you need to use in a different way. Dynamic SR could be one.