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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 07-31-2007, 03:35 PM
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Archie 2000 is on a distinguished road
Forex lies me at the levels of support and resistance

Hello respected traders.
I trade for a whole year, of course, if one can call it trade, the more likely I float at its sole discretion so as not going nearly as plus.
I trade using technical analysis and try to use the support and resistance levels i.e. when I see that currency hit my strong support i.e. about 3 spikes at minimum, I would go long, and appropriately when hit my resistance level, I go short. Then try to take corresponding maximum profit.
BUT the trouble is that these support and resistance levels do not always work, and very often currency pairs that I open position do not touch them, but instead punched them and go further though. Even if there were 3 peak already, and this is a very strong support (support), and it break them and my loss is growing exponentially.

I really think that THEY specifically cheat with me and do not give me money.
Please see this on my chart (figure)


Can someone tell me and explain about the levels of resistance and support.

Thank you.
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Old 07-31-2007, 03:51 PM
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Nicholas 2001 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Archie 2000 View Post
Hello respected traders.
I trade for a whole year, of course, if one can call it trade, the more likely I float at its sole discretion so as not going nearly as plus.
I trade using technical analysis and try to use the support and resistance levels i.e. when I see that currency hit my strong support i.e. about 3 spikes at minimum, I would go long, and appropriately when hit my resistance level, I go short. Then try to take corresponding maximum profit.
BUT the trouble is that these support and resistance levels do not always work, and very often currency pairs that I open position do not touch them, but instead punched them and go further though. Even if there were 3 peak already, and this is a very strong support (support), and it break them and my loss is growing exponentially.

I really think that THEY specifically cheat with me and do not give me money.
Please see this on my chart (figure)


Can someone tell me and explain about the levels of resistance and support.

Thank you.
Hello Archie 2000. May I ask if you have read some literature on the subject? What is the source of your belief that the levels of which currency bounced 3 times have to be very strong support or resistance levels? There are many other ways to define the levels of support and resistance.
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Old 07-31-2007, 04:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholas 2001 View Post
Hello Archie 2000. May I ask if you have read some literature on the subject? What is the source of your belief that the levels of which currency bounced 3 times have to be very strong support or resistance levels? There are many other ways to define the levels of support and resistance.
I’ve read the book of Murphy, John-Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. It gave me basis for finding levels, and I’ve read in the forums that the level that currency bounced twice already considered to be a strong level.
[
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Old 07-31-2007, 04:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Archie 2000 View Post
I’ve read the book of Murphy, John-Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. It gave me basis for finding levels, and I’ve read in the forums that the level that currency bounced twice already considered to be a strong level.
[
I read this book. But it contains no clear criteria for determining levels of support and resistance.
Let’s take few quotations from the book and begin their review.
“Volume is another way to measure the value of support or resistance. “
I have a question. What does “volume” mean on the Forex market - how the volume can be created when you have sale and buy at the same time. This market is not the Commodity market.
That means more volume gives more likely condition to break the level of support or resistance.
If the volume is growing rapidly we have break situation not bounce.



“The significance of the support or resistance level, its distance in time from the current moment”
That means the more the level of resistance or support is from the current price so it is stronger?
Yes this is the most fun statement I heard.
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Old 07-31-2007, 04:19 PM
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Location: California, USA
Posts: 353
goldensight is on a distinguished road
Hi Archie 2000, One of the reasons why you may be having problems is that you are using the rules that someone other than yourself created. I would suggest that you consider doing four simple things to help yourself to create better entries and exits.

1. Try using a one hour chart or a 4 hour chart, the higher you go in time frames the stronger the support and resistance levels are.

2. Spend several hours per day and scroll back a minimum of one year and then slowly scroll forward and create your own rules based on the observations of archie 2000.

3. Forward test your new rules/system in a demo account. Use the exact same leverage that you would be using if trading on a live account.

4. Use an honest broker if you think you are having problems with the one that you have. Set up another demo platform with a different company and put on the exact same trades and if your take profits are getting closed out properly in one account but not another then you need to find a better broker if it happens all of the time. But certainly clarify first that it is the brokers fault and not your trading first.



Quote:
Originally Posted by Archie 2000 View Post
Hello respected traders.
I trade for a whole year, of course, if one can call it trade, the more likely I float at its sole discretion so as not going nearly as plus.
I trade using technical analysis and try to use the support and resistance levels i.e. when I see that currency hit my strong support i.e. about 3 spikes at minimum, I would go long, and appropriately when hit my resistance level, I go short. Then try to take corresponding maximum profit.
BUT the trouble is that these support and resistance levels do not always work, and very often currency pairs that I open position do not touch them, but instead punched them and go further though. Even if there were 3 peak already, and this is a very strong support (support), and it break them and my loss is growing exponentially.

I really think that THEY specifically cheat with me and do not give me money.
Please see this on my chart (figure)


Can someone tell me and explain about the levels of resistance and support.

Thank you.

Last edited by goldensight; 07-31-2007 at 04:23 PM.
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Old 07-31-2007, 04:28 PM
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Posts: 7
Archie 2000 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholas 2001 View Post
I read this book. But it contains no clear criteria for determining levels of support and resistance.
Let’s take few quotations from the book and begin their review.
“Volume is another way to measure the value of support or resistance. “
I have a question. What does “volume” mean on the Forex market - how the volume can be created when you have sale and buy at the same time. This market is not the Commodity market.
That means more volume gives more likely condition to break the level of support or resistance.
If the volume is growing rapidly we have break situation not bounce.



“The significance of the support or resistance level, its distance in time from the current moment”
That means the more the level of resistance or support is from the current price so it is stronger?
Yes this is the most fun statement I heard.

I have a question, and what is the right way to define support and resistance levels?
Do they have accurate criteria of which they can be defined?
Or is there a formula for the calculation?
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Old 07-31-2007, 04:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Archie 2000 View Post
I have a question, and what is the right way to define support and resistance levels?
Do they have accurate criteria of which they can be defined?
Or is there a formula for the calculation?
And that is why I wrote it all. You have raised one of the major issues on the Forex market, and not only on Forex. This is about how to precisely find levels of resistance and support.
I’ve read a lot of literature at certain time and saw that each author has its own criteria for determining levels of support and resistance.
Some use formula calculations; some take those levels of Fibonacci, some use maximums and minimums.
And there is no agreement between them.
I, too, in due course, for a very long time drew levels of resistance and support as you did them.
Until came to the real trader’s site Masterforex-V : Three books about FOREX. Trade secrets from the professional trader. .
After reading his book I realized a lot and not just support and resistance levels, but also how to trade profitably.
I began asking him by mail and he told me little bit more than is in his book and told me he is still in process of writing other chapters.
Now I am very grateful for what he has helped me greatly at the time when I had lost my hope of earning with Forex, he returned me my self-confidence.

Here is the direct link about support and resistance levels.
Masterforex-V : Three books about FOREX. Trade secrets from the professional trader.
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Old 07-31-2007, 05:02 PM
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 114
tirou is on a distinguished road
Hi Archie,
There is no fixed rules in forex.By your experience you will learn lot of things,which you will never find in any books.Develop your confidence, you will surely win in this field.
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Old 07-31-2007, 07:13 PM
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sps8 is on a distinguished road
hello

use fibonacci level its more accurate than piovt.sub/res take alook
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Old 07-31-2007, 11:40 PM
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talktome is on a distinguished road
there is 50/50 chance the price will break or bounce back from support or resistance. We never know where the market will go. That is why you need stop loss to protect your capital.
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