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Last edited by emdafx; 05-22-2007 at 08:12 PM. |
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I think the negative results are more a reflection of the trading strategy you are using, than the indicator itself. However, I still believe the eficacy of the indy can be greatly improved with backtesting the numerous TF settings, in-built indys and coefs. So whenever you get around to incorporating this into the software, it will help with the process of testing. Regards, johnny |
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Congrats on starting to earn pips from this very interesting indicator. The settings you are experimenting with are precisely what I have in mind, to detirmine which parameters produce the best, overall results, as a combination of TF's and the built-in indys. Unfortunately this is too labor intensive to detirmine in realtime and that is why I asked FerruFx if some form of backtesting could be developed, which he agreed to, see earlier posts. His suggested method is not ideal, but it would certainly allow for much more thorough testing. You will be able to look back over charts and see where the ideal entry and exit points would be, then compare the readings of the indy and mix & match the parameters, values of the various inbulit indys, constantly tweaking to find the best settings for the TF's you are trading. THEN WE WILL HAVE AN EXCELLENT INDICATOR!! This indicator can be the support confirmation for your existing trading methodology or I think it can be improved to be a stand-alone entry/exit trading tool, as FerruFx intended - a successful EA. It is not quite there yet and I don't believe it ever will be without more rigorous testing and tweaking to detimine the best settings for various TF's and inbuilt indys. I can set aside time to backtest, but not forward test, so I really appreciate you sharing your findings and results in regards to settings and look forward to your future posts, as between us I think we may just develop a very useful, compact and powerful trading tool. I trust you are trading the indy in demo at the moment and not live, until such time as it has been fine tuned and you have carried out your various experimenting with settings? An interesting experiment, if I may suggest would be to set up 2 charts of the same pair, one with D1 and one without and monitor the different responses you get. I would speculate that excluding D1 will put you in and out quicker, which often will be a good thing, but beware of headfakes. Also you may for interest give more weight/bias to the lower TF's by loading the coefs in their favor. The longer TF's generally have more influence on overall direction, but when a retracement or reversal starts, it does so firstly in the low TF's. M1 changes direction first, which if it continues will causM5 to change, which then will cause M15 to change and so on up the TF's. Again, I would have the indy on 2 charts to visually see the changes and take notes or screenshots. Your target is 20-30 pips per day (which is great to get cosistently) and should not be too difficult to achieve. However, I have noticed that this indy can turn against you very quickly from "Up" to "Down", so in view of this characteristic, I would meanwhile (pending further backtesting) be inclined to shoot for 2 trades of 10-15 pips, as opposed to 1 of 20-30 pips. Just my 'twopennyworth" to experiment with demoo accout meanwhile and please keep us informed. Meanwhile, what has happened to FerruFx? Where are you? I hope you haven't abandoned this project in favor of the !xMeter, as in my opinion, your MTF indy is far superior and has greater potential. If and when you can find time, will you please add the backtesting feature?.......thanks! Regards, johnny |
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I neither don't intend to have a fixed tp, but rather get out based on the stochastics reaching the other end of scale, prefferably on support resistance - but that leaves too much discretion again, and I try to leave it out of my trading. What I'm thinking of now is to go through the history of 5 min cable stochastics crossing in overbought/sold levels and manually cross checking with the reading of 'trend' indi. I think that should provide enough stats for me to be able to start trading or drop the idea. The thing is, to get the stochastics into oversold area, the price needs to get down, and if trend changes to sell too soon, I will have no entry into the proper direction - that is what I intend to check on history, and that is why I don't want it to be too fast.
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Think for Yourself, Question Authority SKYPE: danieltyrkiel |
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Thanks for you interest. FerruFx |
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I am here day after day. But as i said in an earlier post, the time isn't extensible and i'm working on others project too. I don't forget this tool. Concerning the backtesting feature, i looked at this and i'm not sure to have enough coding skills to achieve something really acurate. Thanks all for your kind words and comments. FerruFx |
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