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Modified Martingale
ive been trying to put a spread sheet together so i try variations of the martingale system, however im struggling with the maths of it
. i want the basic martingale system showing break even points, with the ability to input current prices and my investment for each price. eg, if i invest £100 at a price of £2 and another £100 at a price £1.5 where is my break even? what if i invested £200 at a price of £1.5 instead of £100, what if my next investment was £50 at £1.3?i thought it was the average of the price, but if i invest £100 at a price of £100 i will get 1 unit, then if i invest £100 at a price of £50 i will get 2 units, so even though ive doubled down will the breakeven still be the price average (at £75) because i now have more units at a lower price thus breakeven should be reached earlier (round about £66 imo). thanks in adavnce.
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There is no candle. |
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ok maybe forex numbers may make it easier to udnerstand. basic martingale is double down on every loss,
price......buy 1.9000 - 1lot 1.8500 - 1lot breakeven = 1.8750 but what happens if i buy 2lots at 1.8500, where will my breakeven be then? price......buy 1.9000 - 1lot 1.8500 - 1lot 1.8000 - 1lot breakeven = 1.8500 but what happens if i buy 5lots at 1.8500 and then 3lots at 1.8000, where will my breakeven be then?
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There is no candle. |
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Hello trevman
Try this: your 1.example ((100 * 2) + (100 * 1.5)) / (100 + 100) = 1.75 the 2. ((200 * 1.5) + (50 * 1.3)) / (200 + 50) = 1.46 and the 3. ((100 * 100) + (100 * 50)) / (100 + 100) = 75 for the 3. it is not 66 because otherwise 100-(100-66) had to be 50. and by having more stakes : ((price*inv)+(price*inv)+(price*inv)) / (inv+inv+inv) and so on. Yes, its always a little bit tricky with the math.Your 66 had brought me initially to calc the so called Harmonic Mean http://mathworld.wolfram.com/HarmonicMean.html but had led me on a wrong track. For hours...damned. Btw maybe later on you want to check out also the Supermartingale with your spreadsheet calcs.I would be curious to see the outcomes. hbud Last edited by hbud; 02-25-2007 at 07:01 PM. |
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hbud, ive been testing the suggested formula and ive noticed abit of an oddity. the distance between the price of trades and the price of breakeven seems to go up before it goes down like so
Code:
BREAK EVEN DIFF 8033 0 6024.75 2008.25 4685.91666666667 2677.66666666667 3765.46875 2761.34375 3112.7875 2610.725 2635.828125 2384.796875 2277.21205357143 2151.69642857143 2000.4052734375 1937.6474609375 1781.62456597222 1750.24565972222 1605.0310546875 1589.3416015625 1459.83229758523 1451.98757102273 1338.50646972656 1334.58410644531 1235.69529371995 1233.73411207933 1147.50138636998 1146.52079554967 1071.03398030599 1070.54368489583 surely it should go down from the start, rather than up. the forumlas are all correct.
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There is no candle. Last edited by trevman; 03-03-2007 at 11:42 AM. |
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