Quote:
Originally Posted by mp6140
...riding contra to that is downside of 158.23 with 157.67 showing strongly on the H4 that you must hit first, before you get the bounce back up to the land of milk and honey
i would go short, but im just an indian ! (your choice to hold or dump the long)
btw --- youre obviously very good at your s+r but what got you into a long when the trend was very much short?...
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I'll go ahead and explain my rationale here since you had asked.
That's the funny thing about trading, 2 people can look at the same price action, and come to 2 completely different conclusion. I see a bottom formed on June 23, and the formation of a uptrend. Perhaps your view is shorter term than mine, so you are just zoomed into the past 24 hrs only.
The reason I had entered the trade is because after the bottom was form, the bulls and bears started to battle over the direction of the next move. The consolidation phase is fought in near the yellow lines. Once we had the breakout on June 29 to the upside, the bulls had won and took the price higher. This is when I should have entered the trade, but I was just getting back and was hesitant. Ideally, I would have entered on the intial breakout and already banked 200 pips on the up spike. The bulls took the action up naturally after the breakout, and tested 160.25, couldn't find any more takers, and the price came back down for a pullback. The bulls were not willing to let the action go back into the previous consolidation zone that they had just fought so hard to win...so I thought the next logical step is for the bulls to push the price back up...this is the pullback that I entered on.
I had entered a bit late on the pullback at 158.70, but that's OK. It was going sideways a bit there, so I decided to just bank the profit at 159.02. As you can see, it was a bit premature as I had left a good 50 pips on the table. I'm fine with that because I didn't feel the move was strong enough to sustain a trend, and I exited to wait for another opportunity.
OK, that's about it, going to hit the sack. I would not be surprise to wake up in the morning to see GJ hundreds of pip in either direction, but that won't concern me now.