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I conducted a backtest on that setting for the period 2006-05-01 to 2006-11-17. Please note the results are very different, with max drawdown 75.88% and the profit is just 71126.89! Using BreakEvenAfterPips=35 will get a far better result, but the max. drawdown is still 50.19%. Prehaps the backtest for any new settings should be up to present, not only up to a month ago. Regards Wilson
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Wilson, I noticed that your settings were using 3 lots on an account size of $10,000 to start with, and later using 22 lots. What was your maximum risk?
I pasted the settings submitted from Fikko, but seeing the lot sizes made me a little scared. Since that is 6 times the default maximum risk it does make sense the lot sizes would be larger, but that also means (as your log shows) any consecutive losses are extremely painful. It still managed to turn 10k into 80K+ in 6 months after very large losses. Reducing the risk by 1/6th (to the normal amount) would reduce the drawdown *substantially*. I don't think I could ever run maxrisk=0.3 myself.Would you mind running the tests again over the same data with a few changes? Set risk to 0.05, update to 5.6.4, and change the Consecutive signals to numbers between 1 and 200? (200 = 200 consecutive ticks of confirming signals) |
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When you're to it, could you please also reduce the initial account size to $5,000? We agreed that all the testing will use it to avoid confusion in the results and I think it is a good idea.
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Mario |
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I used maximurisk=0.3, I just followed the figure the above post. OK, I am running optimization for that (1-200), it will take about 30 minutes to complete as my computer told me. Will post here the best setting. Regards Wilson
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Following directions told us the directions are scary. Thanks again Wilson ![]() |
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Tp=84 Sl=84
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Period between 2006-05-01 to 2006-11-17 Settings marked with (*) are from optimization. TP=84 SL=84 Net Profit: 11035.45 MD: 2039.49 (11.10%) Total Trade:69 Short won(62.5%) Long won(67.57%) TP=84 SL=84 TrailingStop=50(*) Signal_count=2(*) Net Profit:16022.59 MD: 2456.40 (9.91%) Total Trade:86 Short won(75%) Long won(78.57%)
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