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  #31 (permalink)  
Old 02-15-2008, 09:32 PM
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Originally Posted by philt View Post
Sorry maybe i wasnt clear... Fundamentals are the driving force behind Stocks..When you are a broker/trader buying on behalf of your client on exchange wether its open pit or ECN you do not use any form of TA at all...You are simply carrying out orders to but on behalf of whoever has look at the stocks through fundamentals for one reason or another...

As stated, this is a correct assesment, BUT floor traders use pivot points and support and resistance areas constantly, and their INSTITUTIONS use TA constantly to predict what the next days action will be (which can be altered by news and such, but normally not)

You can so easily look at the DOW, see if its overbought or oversold, and judge immediately what the next day will bring, and forex is one of those that follows TA rules even more strongly --- take a look at an LRC of a currency, then the news that comes out, and WATCH what happens.


If the currency was driven up during the week or even the asian/euro markets, invariably it will fall once that top LRC point is hit, no matter the news is good or not, so tell me about fundamentals some more please !

You don buy x amount of shares because its at the top of a channel ....lol of course you can use TA but i was refering to mp's comment that he was a TA equities trader, obviously implying institutional, but this is not the case..

If you receive a reputable buy signal with confirmations AND the price is at the top of the channel, you would be kinda foolish NOT to buy, but i think thats what started this whole discussion !

I was, and still am, a TA trader and NO WHERE IN THOSE WORDS does it say I worked for any institution nor have i ever intimated or stated such !

And mp, you still havent answered my question...and stop making out your'e being victamised, its rediculous

while you continue to be silly, go google it yourself and save the world this conversation !

of what interest is that to whether or not forex is like poker or not ??
enjoy and trade well

mp
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As a child, i used to watch from the darkness as the secrets were debated and annotated by the elders. No one there held a single thought of my presence -- BUT I KNOW WHERE THEY HID THE KEY !!

Last edited by mp6140; 02-15-2008 at 10:42 PM.
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old 02-15-2008, 09:50 PM
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Originally Posted by drgoodvibe View Post
Totally agree with you in regards to institutional investors.. . . . . . . . . I'm really referring to day traders, and those who hold stocks/bonds/forex for less then a day or two.
===============================================

fortunately drgood, you can see the forest for the trees and are not looking for a fight --- many differences between people buying and selling -- many for longer term holds, which are invariably tech based and watch overbought and oversold levels, many because the company is undervalued and looks very good for the future, many because daytraders can see where the top resistance is and many pit traders (a rapidly dwindling breed) who are the best day traders in the business ---- remember well --- above the pivot point and below the pivot point, as the floor traders DONT forget it ever, or better still (in all forms of trading) ABOVE or BELOW yesterdays closing price !

thank you for your understanding and judgement, which can see both sides of the situation !

but still, what has this all got to do with forex and gambling ???

mp
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Within the great hall at Elfinore stands a wondrous coffer, precisely four cubits square and securely latched against the outside world. Inside that repository, shut away from impertinent eyes, abides many an intriquing trading secret garnered from around the world and over the ages !

As a child, i used to watch from the darkness as the secrets were debated and annotated by the elders. No one there held a single thought of my presence -- BUT I KNOW WHERE THEY HID THE KEY !!

Last edited by mp6140; 02-15-2008 at 10:46 PM.
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old 02-15-2008, 11:48 PM
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I've been playing poker for 5 years and trading Forex for about 1 year. I'll tell you one thing I've learned that applies to both. Those who can recognize "patterns" fair the best.
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Old 02-16-2008, 12:52 AM
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I´m teaching some gamblers how to apply MM to play with bwin and they duplicated their accounts in a few weeks however gamblers sometimes can´t resist the temptation of bet all margin .

As Alex Elder suggest a meeting with AA helps a lots to this people.
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old 02-16-2008, 12:59 AM
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Originally Posted by jturns23 View Post
I've been playing poker for 5 years and trading Forex for about 1 year. I'll tell you one thing I've learned that applies to both. Those who can recognize "patterns" fair the best.
===============================================

THAT I will agree with !

good observation

mp
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Within the great hall at Elfinore stands a wondrous coffer, precisely four cubits square and securely latched against the outside world. Inside that repository, shut away from impertinent eyes, abides many an intriquing trading secret garnered from around the world and over the ages !

As a child, i used to watch from the darkness as the secrets were debated and annotated by the elders. No one there held a single thought of my presence -- BUT I KNOW WHERE THEY HID THE KEY !!
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old 02-16-2008, 04:21 AM
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MP -- is there any comparison ?

Personally, I just dont see any but the slightest points, here and there, of agreement in how Forex is played and how Poker is played.

While I will not argue the "randomness" of poker vs. its probabilities as its a topic far beyond my meager measure, I do know how forex works and there is absolutely no randomness involved.

As "jturns" states, "patterns" are readily apparent to those who know enough to look for them and are substantial assistance when scalping, flipping or swinging, BUT technical analysis takes precedence once we have identified those patterns --- trends are established and can be easily followed, resulting in very nice rewards and these are very easily gotten by simple use of support and resistance applied to whatever timeframe you choose.

Various channels exist, used with or without fibs, that predict well the top and bottom of any move --- news can alter the pattern, creating a "breakout" or "breakdown" but if one is at the top or bottom of a channel, they are well advised to wait for any further confirmation of ANY move, before entering a trade again ---If the trend is changed, forex is a vehicle that WANTS to return to its original trend, and does so with uncanny accuracy. (of course, there can be month long changes in trend, but they can be fairly well figured as to where the ends may be with surprising accuracy also !) I am not aware of anything such as that in Poker ! I have been caught holding a long when a currency turned south for a long term visit, and a month later my long was taken out as the trend reversed from south to north --- dont think you can do THAT with Poker !

Poker contains few of these features that make Forex one of the kings of trading, because it cannot be charted, analyzed, tp's plotted, or note made of its repeatable cycles or have its trend correctly illustrated --- theyre just two different animals with different rules and cultures and share precious little except that humans try to win at both !

I had opened a demo account a while back, to show the newbs on another thread that THEY could do well with very little equity to work with by following a system I find decent, and I doubled the account every 2 or 3 days making 0.05 lot trades, proving it was do-able --- Now this is not in the nature of bragging, but only to illustrate what one member of the thread observed ---- he was simply in awe of where I had taken profit on each trade, as on almost every trade the tp point was at or one pip away from a drastic reversal of the trade. In other words, I nailed each profit point TO THE LETTER, leaving no room before the trade would have turned against me. This is possible because you can do that with forex, but I cannot say that ive ever seen a poker player announce what card would be his/her winning card !

understand this is definitely not in the way of bragging, but Forex is what i do and i would be embarrased if i could not do this repeatedly and I CAN DO THIS REPEATEDLY BECAUSE OF THE PREDICTABILITY OF FOREX, not because i have some inside track that others do not have !

The overpowering and underlying aspect to success in either Forex or POKER is "experience", plain and simple --- with that experience, one can easily determine present trend, and if one knows the trend, then a simple long or short takes care of Forex at that time --- Poker, I'm afraid, is just not that simple, although card counters tend to survive better than most. Unfortunately, counting pips doesnt do the same thing, IMO !

different strokes for differing folks, both with the intention of winning, but vastly different in the application !

IMO

enjoy and trade well

mp
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Within the great hall at Elfinore stands a wondrous coffer, precisely four cubits square and securely latched against the outside world. Inside that repository, shut away from impertinent eyes, abides many an intriquing trading secret garnered from around the world and over the ages !

As a child, i used to watch from the darkness as the secrets were debated and annotated by the elders. No one there held a single thought of my presence -- BUT I KNOW WHERE THEY HID THE KEY !!

Last edited by mp6140; 02-16-2008 at 04:51 AM.
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old 02-16-2008, 12:28 PM
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you still dont get it do you, probabilities remain in forex or poker...
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  #38 (permalink)  
Old 02-16-2008, 12:58 PM
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Originally Posted by philt View Post
you still dont get it do you, probabilities remain in forex or poker...
================================================== =

Philt

quite honestly, whereas I guess one can say that "probabilities" exist in EVERYTHING in this world ("what are the chances that by putting my right leg forward I might step on a crack or fall on my butt" for instance) but that arguement only exists at the simplest level ----- if "everything" has a probability of some form of end product, then Forex very naturally has to fall into that realm also.

In posting, I was going far past that simple concept when talking about Forex vs Poker because the two are very different subjects, although they both share the "win" factor as an end result !

so obviously, from whatever direction you are approaching this, there is no defensable answer against probabilities, BUT probabilities is not the ONLY thing we are discussing here.

Let us drop "probabilities" from the conversation, as we both admit to its existance and get more into the REAL differences, which also on the surface has the attributes that Poker, by every definition existing, is GAMBLING, with everything that word brings to mind and Forex, played correctly, HAS NO BEARING ON CHANCE, RANDOMNESS OR GAMBLING, or I would not be able to hit EVERY profit point at the EXACT PIP !!!

As I stated, there is no bragging concerning the account, just the simple fact that people can do it with only a modicum of experience, as are those who I teach daily who have gone from unsure rookie to profit making traders and i have serious doubts that one can achieve that level of success with that level of experience in Poker !

btw, before you state anything, my "teaching" and methodologies are FREE with no "clubs", "payments", "donations" or exchange of anything but knowledge ! I gave away a perfectly good system that is presently being coded, although I trade it manually, and while it was probably a "commercial grade" idea, there was NO charge or "strings" attached to the gift !

enjoy and trade well

mp
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Within the great hall at Elfinore stands a wondrous coffer, precisely four cubits square and securely latched against the outside world. Inside that repository, shut away from impertinent eyes, abides many an intriquing trading secret garnered from around the world and over the ages !

As a child, i used to watch from the darkness as the secrets were debated and annotated by the elders. No one there held a single thought of my presence -- BUT I KNOW WHERE THEY HID THE KEY !!

Last edited by mp6140; 02-16-2008 at 01:05 PM.
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  #39 (permalink)  
Old 02-16-2008, 01:02 PM
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ok..LOL...i agree....

show me one of your trading approaches, i am interested, please..
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  #40 (permalink)  
Old 02-16-2008, 01:07 PM
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Originally Posted by philt View Post
ok..LOL...i agree....

show me one of your trading approaches, i am interested, please..
================================================== =====

most of my trading rants are over at "follow the dots" thread on this site

mp
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Within the great hall at Elfinore stands a wondrous coffer, precisely four cubits square and securely latched against the outside world. Inside that repository, shut away from impertinent eyes, abides many an intriquing trading secret garnered from around the world and over the ages !

As a child, i used to watch from the darkness as the secrets were debated and annotated by the elders. No one there held a single thought of my presence -- BUT I KNOW WHERE THEY HID THE KEY !!
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