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  #1521 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 02:36 PM
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Quote:
From my inbox
Hi. This is the qmail-send program at yahoo.com.
I'm afraid I wasn't able to deliver your message to the following addresses.
This is a permanent error; I've given up. Sorry it didn't work out.

<spolyakov[at]shaw.ca>:
Connected to 24.71.223.11 but greeting failed.
Remote host said: 554 Your IP is presently being blocked, Please call your ISP for assistance.
I'm not going to try again; this message has been in the queue too long.
Can you please verify your email address and rePM me. I'll send it again. I forgotton who you are, and if you dont reply me before wednesday, I'll leave the seat for another member. Good luck.

Regards,

David
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  #1522 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 04:01 PM
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I've been receiving email from people asking for ammendment on the trading system I decided to share earlier. Please, be patience. Run some forward test before you request for furthur changes. I've been working with 10point3 for awhile, I'm pretty sure of what am I doing on the EA. V12 is 1 of the earliest version that I unexpected it will turn up to be profitable, therefor I put it on full test mode now. The passes 2 months I've been massive production on multi version of martingale base EA, and I keep quiet before I havent seens any furthur result on my forward test. All the while I'm too rely on backtest, now I know the backtest is meant for curve fitting. It will not help us on our future trading or finding a good stop loss or TP. All the EAs I've been making these days is rubbish, non of them can perform well on the forward testing. Some build enough profits and wipe out the entire account within few minutes. And finally seeing some action on V12, so I decided to put it on group testing, and hope to find some good solution to maximize the performance on it. Please, start testing it and hope to see your statement and good settings on it. If you can afford, run it on 2 different broker, different mode. Whether Agressive=True/False, I did like to see the difference between them. I'll be working based on V12 to produce a super machine to trade your account from 250 bucks. I think that is what we're looking for all the while. Low risk approach to get maximum profit. Once the account grew, withdraw our initial capital and play with the profits. Start run forward test. I gave up backtest. Hereby attach some of my work, and see how sucky they are. Showing great results on backtest, and wipe out few of my demo account!

Regards,

David
Attached Images
File Type: gif Massive Production.GIF (21.2 KB, 154 views)
File Type: gif Selection 0.gif (7.2 KB, 126 views)
File Type: gif Selection 1.gif (6.2 KB, 119 views)
File Type: gif Selection2.gif (6.9 KB, 116 views)
File Type: gif Selection3.gif (6.1 KB, 121 views)

Last edited by davidke20; 03-04-2007 at 04:06 PM.
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  #1523 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 04:02 PM
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and there is more here. all of them turn up to be rubbish! All the test brought the account from 250 to more then 1000% base on 2006 backtest. But none of them work out this 2 months on 2007. Good job David. You just waste your fucking precious time!
Attached Images
File Type: gif Selection4.gif (7.3 KB, 123 views)
File Type: gif Selection5.gif (6.4 KB, 113 views)
File Type: gif Selection6.gif (6.0 KB, 111 views)

Last edited by davidke20; 03-04-2007 at 04:13 PM.
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  #1524 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 04:28 PM
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Gmail issue

Quote:
Originally Posted by davidke20
Can you please verify your email address and rePM me. I'll send it again. I forgotton who you are, and if you dont reply me before wednesday, I'll leave the seat for another member. Good luck.

Regards,

David
Hello David,

Please email me at: spolyakov [at] shaw.ca

Regards

StanP
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  #1525 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 05:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davidke20
and there is more here. all of them turn up to be rubbish! All the test brought the account from 250 to more then 1000% base on 2006 backtest. But none of them work out this 2 months on 2007. Good job David. You just waste your fucking precious time!
Hi V12 Team!

I have two question.

1. I see my backtest...

29 2006.01.02 10:05 close 16 1.60 1.1837 1.1858 1.1834 128.00 10241.00
30 2006.01.02 10:05 close 15 0.80 1.1844 1.1858 1.1830 -24.00 10217.00
31 2006.01.02 10:06 close 14 0.40 1.1843 1.1857 1.1825 -28.00 10189.00
32 2006.01.02 10:07 close 13 0.20 1.1844 1.1856 1.1820 -26.00 10163.00


ONLY LAST ORDER PROFIT. Maybe better if open next order close previous?
Small loss and small margin. Correct?

2. Excelent backtest all 2006. From 2007 is worse. Why?
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Last edited by frantacech; 03-04-2007 at 05:13 PM.
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  #1526 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 05:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by frantacech
Hi V12 Team!

I have two question.

1. I see my backtest...

29 2006.01.02 10:05 close 16 1.60 1.1837 1.1858 1.1834 128.00 10241.00
30 2006.01.02 10:05 close 15 0.80 1.1844 1.1858 1.1830 -24.00 10217.00
31 2006.01.02 10:06 close 14 0.40 1.1843 1.1857 1.1825 -28.00 10189.00
32 2006.01.02 10:07 close 13 0.20 1.1844 1.1856 1.1820 -26.00 10163.00


ONLY LAST ORDER PROFIT. Maybe better if open next order close previous?
Small loss and small margin. Correct?

2. Excelent backtest all 2006. From 2007 is worse. Why?
I dont know how to answer your question. But I've never run any backtest with this system prior to my forward testing. And I did show you how difference is my forward test and back test. And I'm sure that is the reason why we need group testing. This is a live EA, not living in backtest. It will not produce good result on backtest, but forward testing. EVEN LIVE TRADING!!! I belive I show enough live trading results previously. Do you want another copy?

Regards,

David
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  #1527 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 05:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davidke20
I dont know how to answer your question. But I've never run any backtest with this system prior to my forward testing. And I did show you how difference is my forward test and back test. And I'm sure that is the reason why we need group testing. This is a live EA, not living in backtest. It will not produce good result on backtest, but forward testing. EVEN LIVE TRADING!!! I belive I show enough live trading results previously. Do you want another copy?

Regards,

David
I see in you statement ..MIRACLE
3264 2006.05.02 09:36 close 1633 8.56 1.2630 1.2609 1.2636 342.40 18144.80
3265 2006.05.02 09:36 close 1632 4.28 1.2628 1.2611 1.2642 -171.20 17973.60
3266 2006.05.02 09:37 close 1631 2.14 1.2629 1.2611 1.2646 -149.80 17823.80


If open next position and close previous, better all profit, I think... idea.

performance 2007... we'll see.

And next idea... equity protection, dont need withdraw deposit, only blocking for use EA.
I want attach EA to next broker... Velocity and North finance - both mini account.
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  #1528 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 05:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by frantacech
I see in you statement ..MIRACLE
3264 2006.05.02 09:36 close 1633 8.56 1.2630 1.2609 1.2636 342.40 18144.80
3265 2006.05.02 09:36 close 1632 4.28 1.2628 1.2611 1.2642 -171.20 17973.60
3266 2006.05.02 09:37 close 1631 2.14 1.2629 1.2611 1.2646 -149.80 17823.80


If open next position and close previous, better all profit, I think... idea.

performance 2007... we'll see.

And next idea... equity protection, dont need withdraw deposit, only blocking for use EA.
I want attach EA to next broker... Velocity and North finance - both mini account.
Nice observation, Miracle is V12 with conservative mode. Agressive_Mode=False. MaxTrade=7, PipStep=4, Profit=10 Good luck on your exploration. Do whatever you like before the market opening. Make sure you stick to your settings for a while until we get a reliable forward testing data.

Regards,

David
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  #1529 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 05:54 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FutureMillionaire?
Ultimately, if backtesting could become reliable ... think how much easier (and quicker) it would be to fine-tune the EAs.

I would love to hear your thoughts.
I guess backtesting is a dirty word in these parts

I've spent the day trying to find ways of improving results. I've been reading posts and downloading data files, trying different brokers, runing numerous backtest etc. etc. I've not been able to make any headway.

I can see why a scalping EA would suffer in backtest, but any normal EA ... I can't see why the backtests provide such erroneous results.

Ray
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  #1530 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2007, 06:16 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FutureMillionaire?
I guess backtesting is a dirty word in these parts

I've spent the day trying to find ways of improving results. I've been reading posts and downloading data files, trying different brokers, runing numerous backtest etc. etc. I've not been able to make any headway.

I can see why a scalping EA would suffer in backtest, but any normal EA ... I can't see why the backtests provide such erroneous results.

Ray
I've seen people selling EA with backtest. Because you can make the EA to be profitable on passed result. You can curve fit the system to be 100% profitable in passed data. This is called curve fitting. This type of EA will not perform well in your live trading. There is nothing wrong with the backtest, but we should not too rely on the backtest to tweak the target/stop loss. Market is dynamic, changing the trading range everyday. Therefore, what you can see from the backtest is meant for the past data, might not be applicable with your live trades. That is why I put you guys togather for the future forward testing. I want an EA which is work in the future, not in the past!
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