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Hi David,
I've been tied down with computer problems and other distractions for several days. Sorry for not getting back to you. I should not have downloaded the micro data after all. I think I'll stay away from micro. What news is there, if any? Have you made any changes? Shall we restart our testing? Shall I get back to optimization? autumn |
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Regards David
__________________
"All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis." - Jesse Lauriston Livermore I'm blogging my EA creation journal |
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Micro again
Hi David,
I wanted to stay away from micro, but a friend of mine keeps insisting that I test on micro, so I decided to risk it. I'm optimizing v1.01 on GBPUSD 15min 3.5 years of downloaded (not Alpari) data on Interbank terminal disconnected from Internet. The chart below shows you a preliminary result. Do you think it is worth continuing even with large drawdowns (80%). It seems to me that the goal is not to accumulate several million dollars in an account but to boost the account to a level that generates a steady and adequate income. I suppose we all have a different definition of what adequate is, but in any case the revenue should be stable. Based on this preliminary result, I think I would be quite happy letting the EA run for a few hundred trades, and when it started to invest the maximum lots (apparently 50 in this case) I would start removing the profits every week. You might even want to start pulling out profits before hitting the 50 lot level. What do you think? Let me know if you have any suggestions. Thanks again for producing a great tool. autumn |
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Reason for 6% drawdown is the simple mind of capital protection. I know it seems insane to talk about capital protection at trading martingale, but who knows there is a way. 20% profit annual is a simulation of 6% yearly inflation + capital growth expanses(electricity, bandwidth, technology maintenance) that will caused me about 8% of my capital. Bare in mind 8% is for my capital size. I'm not sure about yours. Overall, my annual expanses will be 14%. Now we have a drawdown of 6% or profit of 6%. The net asset value for the fund will be down to 94% balance after a drawdown year. With the same step of bad performance consequtively running, it will take 12 years to halve the capital(which I think we're not that dumb to continue lossing the next 12 years straight). Vice versa, with the correct ROI rate, we'll be able to double the account in 3.6 years time, without considering the loss of inflation and or other expenses. Its all about money management. Making an EA is not that hard. To make an EA work for you is not that horrible too. To manage the EAs to work with you, that is the crusial part and canot be ignore at anyone time. If you fail to portfolio your fund with correct risk exposure, you'll be quickly dry up the account instead of building wealth. With the wrong calculation on the expected ROI, even you balanced a 6% profit in the end of the year, you're still lossing interest because the actual profit you made canot cope up with the current inflation. You may find that last year you bought your lunch for $5, but its costing you $5.50 this year. That is a 10% difference. How can your 6% profit counted as a profit? It is a loss!!! Quote:
Regards David
__________________
"All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis." - Jesse Lauriston Livermore I'm blogging my EA creation journal |
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"Its all about money management. Making an EA is not that hard. To make an EA work for you is not that horrible too. To manage the EAs to work with you, that is the crusial part and canot be ignore at anyone time. If you fail to portfolio your fund with correct risk exposure, you'll be quickly dry up the account instead of building wealth. With the wrong calculation on the expected ROI, even you balanced a 6% profit in the end of the year, you're still lossing interest because the actual profit you made canot cope up with the current inflation. You may find that last year you bought your lunch for $5, but its costing you $5.50 this year. That is a 10% difference. How can your 6% profit counted as a profit? It is a loss!!!"
Hi David, I've been following your progress (with Yeo) from as far back as 2006. I must commend you guys for the great job so far especially on versions 2 & 3. It ain't easy for sure. I thought I should show you the template below; perhaps you can create a quick genius work from it any time .Expert Advisor Builder for MetaTrader 4 I must say a big "thanks" for all your efforts regarding the 10p3v0.02 EA. I've been testing it back and forth and I'm certain that it'll rank among the best EAs of the year (no joke). One question though, pls let me know why 10p3v0.02 & v0.03 both work with other brokers' platforms but not with FX Pro's. I can see that their numbers have an extra digit although they don't allow microlot trading (starts from 0.1).Thankfully, Piper. |
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LinkBack to this Thread: http://www.forex-tsd.com/martingale-average-cost-hedging/14023-10p3-multi-currency-pair.html
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| Posted By | For | Type | Date | |
| Forex Trading By EA: 10 Points 3 EA | This thread | Refback | 06-26-2008 06:22 AM | |
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