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EmaFibo_v1 EA backtesting results
EmaFibo_v1 EA.
M30 timeframe. 1. GBPUSD, no MM; Period of backtesting: 17th of January 2001 till 02nd of August 2006. Every tick, modeling quality 90%. 0.1 lot size. Initial deposit $10,000. Total net profit: 1440.50 Gross profit 16520.69. Profit factor 1.10. Absolute drawdown 1107.65. Maximal drawdown 1406.02 (13.65%). Total trades 920 Short positions (won %) 474 (34.18%). Long positions (won %) 446 (33.86%). Profit trades (% of total) 313 (34.02%) Loss trades (% of total) 607 (65.98%). Largest profit trade 282.94; loss trade -160.30. Average profit trade 52.78; loss trade -24.84. The same EA, no MM, GBPUSD, M30 timeframe. backtesting since 2001 till 2006 year by year: 2001: Initial deposit $10,000. Total net profit: -124.26 Gross profit 0.95 2002: Initial deposit $10,000. Total net profit: -642.18 Gross profit 0.72 2003: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit -98.17 Profit factor 0.96 2004: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit 1689.81 Profit factor 1.69 2005: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit -236.40 Profit factor 0.92 2006: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit 907.54 Profit factor 1.66 2. GBPUSD, MM (just slightly MMed); Period of backtesting: 17th of January 2001 till 02nd of August 2006. Every tick, modeling quality 90%. 0.1 lot size. Initial deposit $10,000. Total net profit: 2422.62 Gross profit 21522.09 Profit factor 1.13 Absolute drawdown 1337.50 Maximal drawdown 1528.52 (13.16%) Total trades 920 Short positions (won %) 474 (34.18%) Long positions (won %) 446 (33.86%) Profit trades (% of total) 313 (34.02%), Loss trades (% of total) 607 (65.98%) Largest profit trade 565.88; loss trade -221.20. Average profit trade 68.76; loss trade -31.47. The same EA, slightly MMed, GBPUSD, M30 timeframe. backtesting since 2001 till 2006 year by year: 2001: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit -385.87 Profit factor 0.86 2002: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit -648.90 Profit factor 0.72 2003: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit -241.28 Profit factor 0.93 2004: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit 2767.04 Profit factor 1.67 2005: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit -373.77 Profit factor 0.88 2006: Initial deposit 10000.00 Total net profit 724.02 Profit factor 1.26 Please find all backtesting results, EA and pre-set files) attached. Will post the other pairs later. ------------- Next version: EmaFibo_v1.1. Ma mode is changable in the settings for all 3 indicators separatedly: 0=sma, 1=ema, 2=smma, 3=lwma Last edited by newdigital; 03-09-2008 at 12:40 PM. |
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EmaFibo_v1 EA, MM, 1 lot size, GBPUSD.
M30 timeframe. Please note that if we are using the other lot size so we should use completely different settings of MM. Besides the settings should be changed if you are using different deposit size (i backtested with $10,000). So the settings for this EA with MM GBPUSD, M30 timeframe in case of 1 lot size and $10,000 initial deposit are attached. This EA looks good with 1 lot size as well. And please find backtesting results for EmaFibo_v1 EA for EURUSD, USDCHF and USDJPY. M30 as well. EAs and preset files are posted inside attachments. ------------- Next version: EmaFibo_v1.1 and EmaFibo_v2.1 (see attachments updated) Ma mode is changable in the settings for all 3 indicators separatedly: 0=sma, 1=ema, 2=smma, 3=lwma Last edited by newdigital; 03-09-2008 at 12:49 PM. |
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Quote:
I think this EA on 1 lot size may be our 5th portfolio set for elite section. Because if we see inside the code this EA is just EMA crossing EA. Just 3 EMAs with no any filter. It is really profitable for 1 lot size. Last edited by newdigital; 09-26-2006 at 05:33 AM. |
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Market type suited for : Trending on 1 hour and 15 minute charts.
The Simple Forex System is a wonderful system for the beginning trader to start their exposure to the Forex market. In this trading book, we'll modify our Simple Forex System to include the Fibonacci standard to allow the earliest entry to a position and maximize the exit strategies for maximum profit. This system in itself may seem easier to utilize but it comes with its own rules and restraints. Let's go over the restraints first: 1. This system should be utilized on the 1 hour and 1 day charts ONLY. 2. It should be used on the recommended currency pairs: EURO/USD, EUR/JPY, USD/CHF Not too bad, huh? Now for the the rules: 1. DO NOT hedge by trading the EURO/USD and USD/CHF simultaneously. It is a silly and dangerous practice. 2. NEVER, EVER, open a position against the major trend. This rule should never be violated. If the major trend line is upward or bullish, never enter a short postion, and vice versa. 3. DO NOT enter a position on Friday. Especially if you are trading the 1 hour charts. I also would suggest exiting your positions prior to the end of market day on Fridays if you are trading the 1 hours. 4.DO NOT open a position if there is more than 50 pips from the bottom of the candlestick, bar, or line on the time interval that the EMA's cross to the next confirming time interval. Why? Sudden movements that result in large changes in the price are often followed by a "pivot response". A large gain followed by at least 1/2 re-tractment. This doesn't mean that this is the case every time, but it is the majority of the time and should be considered prior to opening. (If you are trading charts slower than the hourly, then disregard this rule) For those of you not famaliar with the Dow Theory of trends, visit IncredibleCharts.com at the address below for further explanation. http://www.incrediblecharts.com/tech...ory_trends.htm Now to set up our charts. We'll be using three EMA indicators and the Parabolic SAR indicator to enter and exit our positions. Start out with a 1 hour chart of the EURO/USD pair. Add and EMA indicator set at 8. Add the next EMA set at 21, and finally the third set at 55. You should use the defualt Parabolic SAR setting of 0.02 and 0.2. The Method. Now, staying in line with the major trend we wait patiently for the indicators to give us the entering position. This I cannot stress enough. BE PATIENT. Wait for the indicators to do their job. The biggest problem new traders suffer from is the urge to quickly get into the game. This system does not garauntee daily trades, but it does help get you into a position at the best and safest possible time. If you are preparing to go long, enter your position as the EMA 8 crosses through the EMA 55 with entering support from the Parabolic SAR. Again, as in the Simple Forex system, never enter a position against the Parabolic SAR. *If you are trading the hourly charts make sure that the 15 min charts Parabolic SAR is going the same way. Simply click on the arrow beside the 60 min and change it to 15 min and your studies will automatically adjust to the new time frame. Never trade against the 15 min Parabolic SAR! If you are trading the daily charts, ensure your are entering with Parabolic support from the hourly charts. Unless there is a major breakout, you will almost never see Parabolic support on the 15, hourly, and daily charts at the same time. Great, now your in. Things are going good. When do you exit? You simply exit your trade when the EMA 8 crosses back down through the EMA 21. If you wait for it to cross through the EMA 55, you could loose precious pips. Now, it has crossed through the EMA 21 and we have closed our position and locked in the profit, but the EMA 8 fails to cross back down through the EMA 55 and instead turns and continues back upward through the EMA 21. Is it safe to re-enter the trade? Yes. As long as you re-enter with support from the Parabolic SAR. Now a common question is, "Do I enter as soon as the EMA 8 touches the EMA 55 or do I have to wait for it to cross completely thru?" Yes. You must wait for it to cross completely through prior to entering. If the pair whipsaws soon after entering, exit your position and wait for the market to settle. If you are going to trade on the daily chart, ensure you either have adequate equity in your account for what may be 50-150 pip swings, or trade with a lower margin. Such as a 50:1 or 25:1 leverage. Here is an example of my favorite daily pair. Look at the chart below and notice the deep vallys and high peaks. This pair works extremely well with this system and is one of my favorites to trade. What about stops? Set your stop loss at the same line as the EMA 21 in the reverse direction. I originally designed this system for use on the daily charts but realized that it worked fairly well on the 1 hour charts as well. Obviously there is not one system that is foolproof. What we attempt to do is utilize the systems that are winners more often than loosers. However, losses are an inevitable part of life, so deal with them accordingly. As always, I suggest you study the example charts and test out the system prior to going live with it. Once you are comfortable, trade away! (For the charts below, EMA 8 is represented in BLUE. EMA 21 is represented in YELLOW. EMA 55 is represented in RED.) |
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Thanks bigmo,
You post will help a lot. But i coded EA without Parabolic SAR. If it is necessary to insert Parabolic SAR into EA so I can do it in second version. Last edited by newdigital; 09-26-2006 at 12:41 PM. |
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Quote:
I'm affraid that this indicator will show differently with different broker. We know about i_Trend (or iTrend) indicator which is having the different value with different broker irrespective of timeframes. I'm affraidn that this indicator is the same one. Or just find some indicator to avoid trading in flat market? I will try. If we want to filter so we should filter slightly only. Not fully filtered. Just a little. |
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I got the sign crossover signal and it had ways to adjust them so i did.
The problem is the audio alert(bells), it has colors but no ema numbers. I downloaded from this thread but i only gives colors, red and blue is the default. How do i adjust the ema number so as to get audio sound as signals? Say i want the bells to sound when the 8 ema crosses the 21 or 51 and so on. As far as PAR is concern, well i think its hard to do that without looking at it. You need to look at and also look at the RSI to get a decent entry. For me its the alert that is important. Anybody has an email alert? Just my two cents |
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