hi simba

the chart above is a simultation chart. so it looks like "realtrading". So in this situation you can see where the purple line is. so when you project the purple line in the future you have no reliable information for the current situation, because the cross happen very early. its a ranging situation. therefore was the question what to do now, because the information from purple line to the first cross has no information for current situation. and therefore i projected the aqua line, which is the next one.

I got the hurst book.

So maybe i read a bit

thx

lodol

[quote=lodol2;145774]hi simba

the chart above is a simultation chart. so it looks like "realtrading". So in this situation you can see where the purple line is. so when you project the purple line in the future you have no reliable information for the current situation, because the cross happen very early. its a ranging situation. therefore was the question what to do now, because the information from purple line to the first cross has no information for current situation. and therefore i projected the aqua line, which is the next one.

I got the hurst book.

So maybe i read a bit

thx

lodol[/QUOTE

Hi lodol,

Sorry I don`t understand what you are trying to project nor where to..are you trying to project the next crossover,the top,the botttom,timing of top,timing of crossover?..which purple line?which Aqua line?are you talking about the smas?trendlines? I might be colour blind and haven`t realized until now ..

Could you post an attachment including only the relevant information marked by 1,2,3,etc?..like.."from the cross at 1, I am trying to project..."Also,using absolutely unmistakable colours,helps a lot in communicating..I use Red,Blue,Aqua,Magenta,Green,Gold..if I use Gold I try not to use Yellow or similar,your purples look to me like blues,and there are many,also the 2 vertical bars with dots just killed the thing,are they purple too?

I would like to help you,but first I have to understand ,exactly,what you are trying to do..additionally,I have seen something I liked a lot in your charts...

__________________
Somos mortales hasta el primer beso..y la segunda copa de vino

Hi Simba

My observations so far with centered MA's is, they are excellent tools for following and predicting the price movements but sometimes they are giving a bit early signals (and I think Hull MA is slightly smoother than Jurik MA and Sine Weighed MA ?)I know you are using Williams R% as a filtering indicator.I found this indicator in Metastock indicators called ''RSI - Sine-weighted Smoothed'',I dont know if there is a Metatrader formula.İf high and low of the indicator colored in different colours I think this indicator might be good filtering indicator.Or maybe Sine-weighted Smoothed Williams R% ?

Trader.Online.pl® - MetaStock™ Zone - RSI - Sine-weighted Smoothed by Jose Silva

Hi,

Probably what you suggest could work fairly well,I prefer to use price confirmation

__________________
Somos mortales hasta el primer beso..y la segunda copa de vino

hi simba

Thx for help... I got the book now(download) and I think I will study this..maybe I find a more clear picture and then I bother you with more pricise questioning.
thx for good work

regards
lodol

Hi Simba
I'm glad found your thread as i think it is very interesting. Thank you for all you've done. I really appreciate it...but i find your statement below (answering to someone)
"...I am not referencing it here because the cycles are out of phase,as I explained in the thread,the conman was going to be useful for around 6 months max..my suggestion is that you don`t use it.."

Is that mean we can't use it anymore ?
If it's true, i still have to thanks to you for sharing it.

Regards
aye

Hi,

Thanks for your thanks

It works mediocrely at best since the cycles are out of phase..I suggest the following :

1-Do not use it

2-Go to the digital filters section of this forum,go to the thread "Trading..."
Check the posts by member "barnix",download and use his exceptional tools,jointly with the digital filters generator..NOW you can create your own ConMan indicators,customized for every pair and tf..

You will have to work a little,but,as we say in spanish "quien quiera peces ,que se moje el culo"..you have to do your homework,do not expect anybody to spoonfeed you anything really useful..so,just do it,I am convinced that it will be extremely rewarding...

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Somos mortales hasta el primer beso..y la segunda copa de vino

After reading Hurst's book and studying charts decided to share some of my thoughts, hope others (especially Simba) will find them good.
From my point of view now all short and medium term cycles are dominated by longer ones (see chart - red (35), green (49) and blue (75) MAs are crossing each other while going up). Aqua (105) MA just bottomed out and started to go up for about 2 days now, probably causing all this price climbing. I estimate its cross with magenta (205) MA somewhere around 2.0120 and within next 6 - 8 trading days. So this means we should see gbpusd in 2.0424 - 2.0576 area in 6 - 8 trading days time.
Also, as we see from daily chart, SATL turned blue supporting this prediction.
Any comments?

Attached Images

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	gu_d.gif (25.8 KB, 604 views)

hi

great that someoneelse is also intrested in this Hurst method.

lg
lodol

Well, its a good method. The only drawback (at least for me) - it usually takes weeks to wait for good signal, so patience is a true virtue here