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Old 01-01-2007, 01:20 AM
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Parabolic SAR is a leading indicator?

P-SAR is a leading indicator correct? Any thoughts on its efficiancy? I notice that it gives alot of the same signals that Brain Trend, Trend Manager, BBhisto, and EMA cross (2,10) give. Does anyone use this indicator (P-SAR) as a mechanical trading system for when a currency pair is trending?
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Old 01-01-2007, 01:28 AM
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There is no such thing as a leading indicator. Price leads all indicators and nobody knows where the price is going.
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Old 01-01-2007, 01:35 AM
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Good point. But I would say that P-SAR is more 'leading' than other indicators though no? While we dont know where the price is going, we do know without a doubt that the price moves in waves, that is self evident. We dont know whether this particular wave, either up or down, will be strong or not but we know it is coming. P-SAR uses probability to its advantage in this sense I think. It starts out with a 50/50 chance of predicting a new trend, and then I'd say it gets an extra 10% because it chases the price, faster and faster and catches it right when the momentum is winding down, and this is often where a new trend begins. Or am I just BSing here? Id say give it another 10% if you only take trades when the time frames are in alignment. So if you use a 1 hour chart you would only take trades with rising momentum on the 4 hour and 1 day.
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Old 01-01-2007, 01:44 AM
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Shall we confine this to the '2 and 10 moving average cross system' thread
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Old 01-01-2007, 01:52 AM
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yes lets LOL.
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Old 01-01-2007, 02:45 PM
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Divergence doesn't lead price.. but occurs at least at the same time.. ;-)
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Old 01-01-2007, 03:22 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by drgoodvibe
Divergence doesn't lead price.. but occurs at least at the same time.. ;-)
divergence is leading indicator
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Old 01-01-2007, 05:03 PM
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When it works.
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Old 05-25-2008, 04:13 PM
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Divergence is derived from price action....... and price action has already occurred......

Therefore divergence also lags.. and. as mentioned previously. does not always work.
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