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  #771 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 07:23 AM
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Good morning from sleepy-hollow. I hope you are all pumped-up after a fantastic start to the week by most.
Typical really. Bloom was moving and I am not trading and so what happens, it all goes mental first thing. Charming.

Looks like the slide could well continue but one must be asking themselves now just how much longer this can go on for without at least some retracements towards the daily 20ema.

Gold and Crude are quite difficult to read on the longer term charts simplay because of how far they have come.
Crude actually doesn't look like its making any significant lows and as for Gold, there's the treble bottom on the 60m chart to look out for.

On the currencies there are very limited opportunities at the moment until we wait for the 60m 20 ema's to catch up.
There is one possibility for me if Gold and Crude manage to find a little support.
Our very cheeky little miss Yen has been full of mischief of late but was once again denied by the monthly pivot yesterday. We're now back below the 4hr 20ema the 4hr CCI has crossed from positive to negavie and a decent break of the weekly pivot might just be possible for a nice few pips.
I wont's be playing any thing else at the moment.
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  #772 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 08:15 AM
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Hi FX Pimp,

When using multi-timeframes for trading, how do we read the higher timeframe?

If we want to trade on the 5m chart and we check the 1h timeframe for the trend direction, how should we behave when on the 1h timeframe the price was going down, but it is a little far from the moving averages? Should we consider that it can reverse or do we still assume that the trend is down? Or should we look at a still higher time frame in that case?
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  #773 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 01:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dvarrin View Post
Hi FX Pimp,

When using multi-timeframes for trading, how do we read the higher timeframe?

If we want to trade on the 5m chart and we check the 1h timeframe for the trend direction, how should we behave when on the 1h timeframe the price was going down, but it is a little far from the moving averages? Should we consider that it can reverse or do we still assume that the trend is down? Or should we look at a still higher time frame in that case?
Hi.

You read your 60m chart like any other. I like to use a comdination of 15m/5m but they are very similar and actually prefer the 5m/60m.
That way I can see 1m up to daily information on just two charts.
You might only be looking for 10 pips, in which case use a 5m/15m but if you want a little bit more meat then use the 5m/60m combo.

We can see from the 60m chart that the 84 is the only visable CCI. It's all we need to see when using this combination ad the 21 is the same as the 5m 252 and the 5 trigger is the same as the 63 on the 5m.

The 84CCI is our 4hr and tells us here we are only ever interested in shorts.
Yes it pops over a few times but the 4hr 20 is always below the 4hr 50sma so clearly the longer term trend is down.
The Bold m.a's are your main players, so when you see big red below big blue on both you know you are in business. It's very important you study these averages and get to learn what happens when one is above the other then what happens when they cross but when the 60m chart ones are too spread apart and so on.
Sure you can take little retracements but your success rate will always be higher trading with the 4hr trend

I will cover a couple of other alternatives later. A 1m/15m and a 30m/4hr
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Last edited by FX Pimp; 09-09-2008 at 01:09 PM.
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  #774 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 01:20 PM
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1m/15m

This is slightly more risky as we're playing against the 4hr trend and instread just with the hourly trend.
We can see from the 15m chart at the bottom that the 15m 20ema is supporting price action and this in turn is getting close to the 60m 20.

we can have a little go at filling this gap with the 1m chart and wait to see what happens.
On many occassion price action will fall back, finding rhe resistance of the 60m 50 too much but on this occasion this morning, we could have played either the run up to the 60m 20 or the break.

Again, smae theory. The CCI of the bottom chart should give you the main direction.

Next I will show the 4hr/30m combination
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  #775 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 01:30 PM
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30m/4hr

Here we have exactly the same scenario, playing with the main trend.
The 4hr has the daily CCI so we are playing the daily trend with a 4hr chart for a bit more clarity, then an entry off a 30m chart to get us in.
We have the 4hr and 30m CCI on the 30m chart so if we know they are not oversold we could very well get a nice run for our money.

These combinations are not preference as such they are just logical, to help you see a bigger picture, hold a trade for longer and to get maximum pips from minimum risk.

If you prefer a 1m/60m or a 5m/4hr then please feel free to use it in this way.
Nothing is impossible in this game but each of us are different. Have a play and see what suits you.

Good luck
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  #776 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 04:31 PM
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Weekly & Monthly Pivots

Okay, All,

Who took the trade below? Beautiful set up with a trendline, cross of the 63cci, cross of the 5cci, cross of the 1hr20ma. Okay the 252cci was a little late crossing, but this was a breakout play with the trendline. +90 pips.

Buuuuuutt!! It was against the 4hr21cci, so I didn't take. I saw it happening, but wasn't confident enough to go against the trend.

Anyway. My point is that my target would normally have been daily support 1 and can't even be seen here. So, it was unlikely to go that far in a straight run.

Look how the price bounced off FX Pimp's new Weekly Pivot indicator (ws1).
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  #777 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 05:32 PM
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pivot

eur break pivot
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  #778 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 08:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Honest Bill View Post
Okay, All,

Who took the trade below? Beautiful set up with a trendline, cross of the 63cci, cross of the 5cci, cross of the 1hr20ma. Okay the 252cci was a little late crossing, but this was a breakout play with the trendline. +90 pips.

Buuuuuutt!! It was against the 4hr21cci, so I didn't take. I saw it happening, but wasn't confident enough to go against the trend.

Anyway. My point is that my target would normally have been daily support 1 and can't even be seen here. So, it was unlikely to go that far in a straight run.

Look how the price bounced off FX Pimp's new Weekly Pivot indicator (ws1).
Hi Bill,

Sorry to hear you never pulled the trigger. WHYYYYYYYYYYYY ??
What was against the 4hr 21? The 4hr 20ema was above you so you know you are below 0.0 on 4hr21CCI. I have even added a 1008 to the bottom of this chart just for you to see exactly where the 4hrCCI would have been.
Don't worry if the 252 has not quite crossed. The important thing is the break of the 60m 20ema which is equivalent. I guess had the 21CCI been a 20, then a 252 would be a 240 and then it might have just broken the 0.0. Shall do some tests.

You been on the Guiness again ?
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Last edited by FX Pimp; 09-09-2008 at 09:01 PM.
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  #779 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2008, 10:18 PM
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EurUsd trade

Hey Pimp on Bills question on the EURUSD where would you have gone in at? I'm a little fuzzy on your entrances...If you could pinpoint some entrances on trade setups it would really help us--at least it would really help me.
By the way I sure thank you for your time and effort on this thread...you are a rare breed indeed!!!!

thanks

Greg D
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  #780 (permalink)  
Old 09-10-2008, 03:53 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eegle View Post
Hey Pimp on Bills question on the EURUSD where would you have gone in at? I'm a little fuzzy on your entrances...If you could pinpoint some entrances on trade setups it would really help us--at least it would really help me.
By the way I sure thank you for your time and effort on this thread...you are a rare breed indeed!!!!

thanks

Greg D
Hi mate.

You will need to go over the charts I hcva posted to see the entries clearly. They are either highlighter with the circle function or with the vertical line as above or with an arrow.

You either play the break of a decent support line as Bill has posted, or wait for a retracement of the trigger CCI, or go in on the cross of the 252 or go in on the cross of the 63.

The latter two you will almost always rxperience some pain with, so trade the rirection of the 252, wait for 63 to cross in same direction, then a little retracement and re-cross of the signal.

In instances of a nice support line being broken then as long as the 63 and 252 are down and not oversold and you're m.a's are in correct order and in close proximity you should get a run for your money.
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