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  #1791 (permalink)  
Old 02-19-2009, 05:47 PM
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Indicator update

While everyone seems to have fallen asleep here, I thought I would share my experience with the "latest and greatest, award winning" indicators.

I was sent (sarcastically, I think), several links to the very latest indicators available which I normally would just delete but seeing as I had Time on My Side (Rolling Stones), I took a look.

They look so colourful and fancy now but STILL, all they are doing is painting a very beautiful picture of what happened in the past.

I haven't seen one that gives even the remotest indication of what to expect on the next bar.

I did a test and found the most obvious price action bar I could find which turned out to be a hammer at the end of a 3 week daily downtrend from which a 4 month uptrend erupted in a 1367 pip move, and ran most of these "award winning indicators" on it.

The best squiggly line I could find, triggered a "long" 20 days later and then it REVERSED in the middle of the trendiest part of the up move for only 420 pips! I think a blind man would have known not to get out at that point!

I really admire the traders who are profitable using indicators for they are far more clever than I.

Well, I gave them my best shot but now they are Gone, Gone, Gone (Robert Plant & Alison Krause - see I'm getting very modern and up to date now!).

Rock n Roll,
Strat
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  #1792 (permalink)  
Old 02-19-2009, 08:21 PM
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Gold and Oil don't seem to be correlated at all at the moment. I use the US indices for direction in Oil.
Just my opinion but gold seems to move inversely to the indices and the dollar and is all about risk aversion. Appetite for risk decreases and people seem to shun equities and buy gold and treasuries (good for dollar).
Just my newbie observations.


Quote:
Originally Posted by mauzj View Post
Gold and crude appear uncorrelated now. How will this affect the trading methodology?
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  #1793 (permalink)  
Old 02-19-2009, 08:24 PM
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I use 1hr & 15min, most of the guys who trade with the pimp do now.

Quote:
Originally Posted by parshyip View Post
Do anyone know about 15m&1H this strategy?
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  #1794 (permalink)  
Old 02-20-2009, 01:58 AM
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Daily updates

GBPJPY
Price being rejected by major resistance on lower volume and where several cycles are topping. 131.20 where 20 & 50 cross will provide strong support, if it breaks that, next support is at 130.30, 129.30 and 127.50 with major support at 121.75

USDJPY
Already discussed

CHFJPY
Price being rejected by major resistance on lower volume and where several cycles are topping. Also at 50. Next major support at 78.60

EURGBP
Price trapped between major support and resistance and Daily 20 and Weekly 20

EURJPY
Price being rejected by major resistance and 50 on lower volume with some cycles topping. Next major support at 114.00

EURUSD
Price well and truly trapped between major support and resistance at 1.2550 and 1.2950

GBPCHF
Price being rejected by major resistance and 50 on lower volume with minor cycles topping. Next major support at 1.5870
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  #1795 (permalink)  
Old 02-20-2009, 05:44 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicola A View Post
I use 1hr & 15min, most of the guys who trade with the pimp do now.
If may ,explain Rules this strategy , please.
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  #1796 (permalink)  
Old 02-20-2009, 07:32 AM
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hi parshyip.
1) read the first severel post in this thread(and if I may continue reading until the end of it)

2) watch some video summaries on this page:
Forex Blog, Forex Trading, Live Forex Education, Currency Trading - there are explained the set-ups

GL

Ladik
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  #1797 (permalink)  
Old 02-20-2009, 09:28 AM
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I do. How can I help?
__________________
I'm now sending trading notes out twice a day with videos too. Have a look HERE.
There's one set at 6:30 UK time for London and one at 12:00 for U.S session, plus I will send a summary video after each session
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  #1798 (permalink)  
Old 02-20-2009, 05:54 PM
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Holiday Time

Hi, All,

As a type Gold is tipping $1,000 for the second time today on the 15m chart. And dow is tipping 7300 for the second time. Will they double top/bottom? I guessed it would be a mad day with that happening. An historic day. But, I didn't expect the following.

I went short on EU at 1.2753 s/l 60 yesterday. Not a strategy trade, but here it is.
This morning it was +180. I moved s/l to 1.2662 above the 4hr20ma and DP.
Here's what happened on the 4hr chart.
I still managed to bank some before my snowboarding holiday tomorrow.

What a day!!!.
Byeeeeeeeee!!!
ps Gold has broken 1,000 as I type and dow is gone!!
Attached Images
File Type: gif chart.gif (9.0 KB, 325 views)
__________________
Honest Bill

Last edited by Honest Bill; 02-20-2009 at 05:56 PM.
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  #1799 (permalink)  
Old 02-21-2009, 07:16 AM
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There'll be a few burnt fingers after yesterdays trade, thats for sure Bill.

So glad I closed 3/4 of my usdjpy long for +200. I actually chanced a short on it then got nervous and cut it to see it fall a few 100 minutes later. But overall it was a good result.

Messy week for me, but then I look at the charts and see why.

Overall about -50 pips this week.

Enjoy the weekend.
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  #1800 (permalink)  
Old 02-22-2009, 12:42 PM
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Help with Money Managemet

Hi Guys. It's been a while since I posted here. I'm sitting here and going thru the thread and just thought I would post some of my thoughts.

Been following the thread for a while and now have joined the Live Room for a bit of extra help.

Although sometimes the room can get a bit crazy, it is a great help when you follow what Dan, Zak and James talk about.

Since December time I've managed to blow up my live account twice (before mid January). Albeit only small account sizes ($100 deposit on 2 occasions), it hurts.
Jump in here jump in there, 20 trades a day, sell when I should buy. All the worst trades I seemed to be taking.

I'd had it at one stage and walked away for a couple of weeks.
Really critical of myself and wondering if I could ever get my head around this Trading 'game'.

AH! There's the key I thought, from under a palm tree with a tasty brew in my hand. 'IT AIN"T A GAME' !
It's not a Demo Account, so it DOES matter if I profit or not.

Part of my situation, as with all new comers is understanding trading in a wholistic way.
I did have a better than average understanding of the system BUT I didn't have a clue about position Management , Risk/Reward or keepin' the 'Lid on the tin' when I had a profit.

There was always something else to jump into.

See, I found on a demo account, it's all very easy to set yourself up with 100K or 1million and trade 10 lots and make 5, 10, 20K per trade. Whoohooo!!! A lot of fun.
The demo is good for learning the system and getting comfy with the setup, BUT (again) the Demo is no good for responsible Money Management.

Point of the story is...
I started to listen, started to watch what others were/are doing in the Live room.
It's been pointed out here many times about professional traders looking at the risk 1st and newbies looking at the reward 1st.
Makes a whole lot of sense and in turn has started returning positive, encouraging pip averages for for me.

I'm not really thinking about the money any more (for the moment) because I can't earn money if I can't be consistent with pips IN the tin.

Also found it helps to close the terminal window at the bottom so I'm not continuously looking at the $ up/down figure.
Just concentrate on the signals, price action and charts. Close out my trades when the signals, S/R levels, etc tell me to and suprise suprise I am now averaging 65% profitable trades.
Also the losers are generally small in size compared to the winners, so the profit/loss $ ratio is about 80% on the profit side.

Cool...

A journal really helps. Keep details of your trades, time of trades, etc, etc.
and spend some time at the end of the week reviewing them. I am using Excel to track the money/pip side of it and OneNote to track the psychology and paste pics of the chart (both good and bad).

It is frustrating (at times) for newbies in the live room, comments like 'banked half for 100+', 'Closing for 90, 300+ for the day' are sometimes not helpful when you're down 60-70 in the session.

I will say, that it is also an inspiration when other traders are making gains like this with the system.
At least we know that it is possible to make pips and inspires us that little bit more to understand and implement the strategy.
I still quite haven't figured out how I like to trade.
Some days I'm making good pips by simply following the setup to the rule. Last week I was actually quite good on the retracements, sometimes 4hr 1hr is excellent others on the 15min. Not any one still is consistent for me. I do realise now that this will take some time and in the mean time just happy being consistent overall.

The thing is, with everyone on this thread and in the live room, they all bring a little bit of inspiration and a lot of diversity to the table.
Some on oil, some gold, others pullbacks, scalpers, long termers.
All of these types of traders are giving us newbies the oppurtunity to explore further than we'd imagined in a safe(r) environment where there is plenty of guidance and wisdom to be freely shared.

Personally from any learning experience in my life, I know that after practice, study and review I will enter the comfort zone of being a professional trader and will fondly remember the days when I was a newbie with an exploding account!

There are too many people here to thank individually, so to all who have contributed, a BIG BIG thank-you and best wishes.

Regards,
Martin

Ps: Since my explosive days I have been working on a simple journal to keep track of my profit/loss, pips ratios, averages etc
Just thought I'd attach it here if anybody is interested in having a look.
This copy is for Excel 2007. I have to work on a couple of the formulas to make it functional in earlier versions of Excel. Will post when fixed.

Pss: Recently I discovered an error in on of the formulas.

The new Calculation in Cell # H14 on the MONTHLY TOTALS Sheet should be :

=LOOKUP(9.99999999999999E+307,H2:H13)

Just Copy and paste this into the cell and all is good.

If anyone has found other errors, then just email me @:

partymarty007@yahoo.com

and I will fix it and re-post the updated Workbook.
Attached Files
File Type: rar FOREX JOURNAL-TEMPLATE.rar (391.7 KB, 90 views)

Last edited by Lungfish; 03-08-2009 at 08:04 PM. Reason: Error in Formula
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