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Max DD for 20% increase?
I'm asking this as a general survey to see what kind of DD you would REALISTICALLY accept to gain 20% a week. (Realistic is the keyword there!) Just curious. Thanks! (No I'm not making 20% a week, just a question)
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You may want to use the good old R:R ratio to come up with your answer on this one. The application is universal, so I don't see why it would not apply here. Example:
Let's say you are a trader that usually works with a 1:1 ratio. The conclusion in this case is that you may (or would be willing to) risk a 20% DD. If you're one of those guys that attempts to work with the "popular" 3:1 ratio, a DD of 6% o 7% would be expected. Make sense? |
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If you make 20% profit per week it means that you are way over-leveraged. And that you have a very high chance of burning your account. 20%/week X 52 weeks = 1.040%/year. A good robust and profitable system will produce a R/R ratio between 4 and 6. Means that your profit will be 4 to 6 times as big as your MaxDD. That means if one makes 1000% profit/year that he will encounter MaxDD of 250% to 166%. That means if you start of with a leverage that can make these kind of profits and you encounter the MaxDD the moment you start to trade, you'll burn your account very quickly.... Regards...iGoR
__________________
Succes comes with knowledge. Knowledge comes with experience. Experience comes with time and hard work... (iGoR) To avoid a lot of false trades ask yourself the question:...Am I desperatly looking for a trend because I want to trade...or am I taking a trade because the trend is there...(iGoR) Last edited by iGoR; 07-20-2008 at 08:45 AM. |
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