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  #601 (permalink)  
Old 03-30-2008, 03:45 PM
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Ralph Ronnquist has worked with this...PM him..

ES

Quote:
Originally Posted by scalpmaster View Post
So do you know how to program/display simple TPI calculation on the MT4 platform?
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  #602 (permalink)  
Old 03-31-2008, 10:28 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ElectricSavant View Post
Ralph Ronnquist has worked with this...PM him..ES
Thanks. Looking forward to his implementation.

<Right; I've done a bit like this before. I'll put this on the stack, but there are a few things before at the moment, so don't hold your breath....

regards,
Ralph.>
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  #603 (permalink)  
Old 04-02-2008, 01:04 PM
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Please people dont post your journals here. Instead you could open a thread in the journal section. Maybe a mod could help keep this thread clean...
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  #604 (permalink)  
Old 04-18-2008, 07:02 PM
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carrygrid

Quote:
Originally Posted by FseXy View Post
It hasn't traded for me in ages, like another EA I have. I prefer CarryGrid EA, it trades each day and always makes a profit. For me has not made losses yet.


what timeframe are u using for carrygrid ea?
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  #605 (permalink)  
Old 04-20-2008, 04:52 PM
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my bests

These are my bests..

Some tips for beginners:
---------------------------
-Focus on statistical/stochastic methods
-Neural etc. is not a proveable way.
-Focus on waves, not indicators
-Statistical models MUST include price itself, price itself again.
-Some pattern recognition/classification approach may help,
like classification of random trades mentioned in "better like" things.
-Focus on "analyzable" pairs.
-MT4 Tester: Strategy tester is a BIG power, if you can "glue" the price, when
your expert makes a decision. MT4 price simulation model papers will help..
-Count tester trades and real trades. They have to match %90+. IF they do not match,
you need to "glue" the price somehow, by including the price itself in your code.
-Do not cheat yourself saying forward test etc. Statistical prove on market data is a must.






A Classification Example, Using Weka. X,Y: Some parameters of sample trades.
If you can export your system's all possible trades outside of MT4,
you can "visualize" your system in the space, your brain will like this.

Blue: Good Class Red: Bad Class

Thanks
Cengiz, TR
Attached Images
File Type: gif classi.GIF (52.6 KB, 1638 views)

Last edited by mcbalta; 04-20-2008 at 10:23 PM.
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  #606 (permalink)  
Old 04-20-2008, 05:20 PM
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If you seriously think those are good results then you should probably read a bit about risk management..

edit: here is an example of what a good equity curve looks like. It's always important to focus on risk, not profits. If you keep your risk minimal, then you can always trade with bigger lots when your EA makes constant profit. (that graph is from 1989 to today with a very small lot size)
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Last edited by mikkom; 04-20-2008 at 05:25 PM.
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  #607 (permalink)  
Old 04-20-2008, 05:45 PM
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..



thanks. mines are from 2006.06.01
these pictures are not so simply produced

Forex/leverage is a mathematical/statictical montage market.
If you have enough statistical model and a reliable broker, risk is just nothing up to half of your money. (except friday closes and weekends) I could analyse euru/usd up to 1:50 leverage. These things are terribly hard.

The Key Is: More Leverage/Risk -> Less position carry time
Risk = F(carry time) + F(market continuity) + F(Broker Reliability)


Quote:
Originally Posted by mikkom View Post
If you seriously think those are good results then you should probably read a bit about risk management..

edit: here is an example of what a good equity curve looks like. It's always important to focus on risk, not profits. If you keep your risk minimal, then you can always trade with bigger lots when your EA makes constant profit. (that graph is from 1989 to today with a very small lot size)

Last edited by mcbalta; 04-20-2008 at 05:58 PM.
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  #608 (permalink)  
Old 04-22-2008, 01:45 AM
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No backtest results are any good at all. Only forward tests prove anything worthwhile.
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  #609 (permalink)  
Old 04-22-2008, 03:03 AM
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finally
my goal was to make a wage
still working on it
Im ashamed to say all done with indicatorz
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  #610 (permalink)  
Old 04-22-2008, 05:02 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Perky View Post
finally
my goal was to make a wage
still working on it
Im ashamed to say all done with indicatorz
The result of your tester looks good, but the modelling quality is n/a
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