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Old 09-05-2008, 06:19 AM
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Old 09-10-2008, 07:17 AM
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Old 09-10-2008, 07:52 AM
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Old 09-16-2008, 03:41 PM
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Folks,

My calculations may have been correct...jerung may still lose this Challenge on the final lap....It may be impossible to win this Challenge™. Just for your information I have sent the coder 500 bucks for his time and for an honorable mention or a win!.....we shall see...in any event he has done a fine job and I am glad for him to have it!

jerung has had some losses and nearing the drawdown threashhold....jerung can endure just one more loss according to my calc's unless there are some wins now...

ES
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Old 09-21-2008, 12:44 AM
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I get a lot of PM's on quanitative analysis and such...

Here is a fact I can share...
  • Prices can lose as much as 70% of its directional bias within 24hrs. OF ANY POINT IN TIME...within 48 hrs it can turn directionally random....

Now...

The ElectricSavant Challenge™ was developed with some other data that is proprietary and uses a 6-month slice, but my point is that this is a possible nut to quantfy very accuratley...

jerung has about 20 days left and it started at a very strategic 6 month slice of time... and in the end the ElectricSavant Challenge will probably be undefeated...but I hope not...☺(the fact that jerung is rattling my cage and that it is still standing is amazing indeed).

ES

P.S. Exact analysis is 8 months and 15%...but I lowered the standards by two months to be 6 months and raised the DD from 15% to be 17% to allow retail traders a chance to beat this...jerung was far too powerful to allow this variance...but it is hindsite...I have probably posted too much about this, but quanitative analysis of the currency market actually supports Fundemental Trading over TA....Probably two or three posters here understand this...like Igor...MiniMe and that group...

Last edited by ElectricSavant; 09-21-2008 at 12:59 AM.
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Old 09-22-2008, 12:38 AM
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Well Ladies and Gentlemen,

The ElectricSavant Challenge™ now officially remains undefeated. jerung just lost the trade that put it below the drawdown and this Challenge is over. jerung lasted the longest, but in only 2 weeks left to go it struck the losing trade. I really had to think twice about the Challenge Criteria and I was hoping that jerung could have beaten the Challenge.

I do not know if I will continue in my quest for an EA that can beat this. But I do not believe there is one and now I know it...

If there is one I Challenge anyone to prove it...otherwise there is not one...ok?

Thank you for reading this thread...It has been fun☺

The thread will be closed as soon as ND gets my PM...But it will be here for all to read in the future. I suggest that the experienced traders reference this thread to new traders in denial.

Newbies I want you to pay attention....lower your expectations and keep your day job...ok?

ES

Last edited by ElectricSavant; 09-22-2008 at 12:46 AM.
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