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Old 12-14-2007, 02:16 AM
jdpnz jdpnz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hunter113 View Post
Hi,

What we know about Better system: (at least what I realized
-It is trading 2-3 times a day, which is something I really like.
-Using static stop loss of 60, and taking 30-60, sometimes more
pips profit.
-It is using PNN, input some moving avarages, (what time frame,
what length is question)
-It is built up from 3 subsystem (maybe this is the 3 inputs fxspeedster
referring to)

So for me it seems that it is predicting the most probable next 30-60
movement.

Hunter
This is interesting and would suggest to me that this particular NN has been trained much like Barnix suggests - with perhaps a 50 pip Target area and a "weight" (trend strength) depending on the relation between wrong/correct direction before the next 50 pips are hit.
In this, actual input data (MA periods etc.) would also become less important - because the system would train towards the above relationship. As such it may be well worth exploring this idea a little bit more.
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Old 12-14-2007, 02:23 AM
jdpnz jdpnz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bolt View Post
I suspect that BEtters NN system has simply caught a sweet spot the last few weeks but you see prior he was down in the noise with all the other EA's.
If this is the case it would suggest that fixed (period) ma's/indicators have been used as input data - this could be resolved by implementing some cycle measurement subsystem underneath the NN development.
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Old 12-15-2007, 11:39 PM
barnix barnix is offline
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Forecasting with SVM machines
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Old 12-15-2007, 11:47 PM
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Forecasting with SVM machines 2
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Old 12-15-2007, 11:53 PM
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Forecasting with SVM machines 3
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Old 12-15-2007, 11:59 PM
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Forecasting with SVM machines 4
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Old 12-16-2007, 12:12 AM
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Forecasting with SVM machines 5
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Old 12-16-2007, 12:29 AM
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Old 12-16-2007, 12:44 AM
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Forecasting with SVM machines 7
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Old 12-16-2007, 09:28 AM
jdpnz jdpnz is offline
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Thank you barnix
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