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| View Poll Results: What’s your opinion about Steinitz MTF Robot? | |||
| It’s an Excellent EA |
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2 | 3.77% |
| It’s a Good EA |
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5 | 9.43% |
| It’s an Average EA |
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9 | 16.98% |
| It’s a Poor EA |
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14 | 26.42% |
| It’s a SCAM |
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23 | 43.40% |
| Voters: 53. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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LinkBack (12) | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
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Evaluation of Steinitz Methods
I stated this thread just to provide some information about Steinitz Method.
Everybody knows I think that Steinitz Method can be very sucessfull with some traring condition. But there are some problems concerning way of selling and some mistakes made by the author. I will do some posts copied from original commercial threads without any comments. Everybody can join this thread with any other comments. |
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It is the post of the author:
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And it is my post summarizing everything:
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When Steintz first introduced "his" method on FF it was nothing more than a simple idea of using a HA ma on 3 multiple time frames. I helped out by introducing that 2 bit jag-off to using the multi-bars below (see post link)
HAS Indicator - Misc indicators & EA's - Page 3 Since then he has taken full credit for developing "his" super-duper trading system. He is not a trader and never will be. At best he's a half-assed marketer. He, like many other trading enthusiasts, lacks the deeper comprehension behind a system/strategy. As far as the evaluation is concerned, all you really need to do is look at how "his" system manages the positions. That's the bread and butter to any strategy... order management. There is nothing thought provoking or clever about Steint's approach to order management. Primarily the reason for that is because... I never shared one with him. The bottom line is that he's made his money (from selling EA's) and now it's to for him to move on to his next nickle and dime venture. |
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I would like to make an evaluation of this EA and system and realy stick to facts without any personal or emotional attacks what so ever to the author of this system.
1) The author of this system claims that this system does not make any losing trades. IF it is used without any stoploss like he is using it ( see posting #2 above) 2) The author of this system says that he makes very nice profits and that with a strategy of trading between 10-12 pairs ( see posting #2 above). If one takes a look to the monthly chart of ONLY 1 pair. The GBP/USD. And aspecially to a NO stoploss strategy. Those who know the rules of this system can easely spot that in Nov. 1980 the system was in a full long mode and would have triggered only long trades. After Nov 1980 that index dropped 14.000pips. So without a stoploss that would have resulted in a total burning of the account. In Febr.1985 the system would have been in a full short mode and would have triggered only short trades. After Febr. 1985 the system changed into a bull market and went up more then 9.000pips and without stoploss would have resulted in 9.000pips loss or a compleet burning of the account. In Jan 1991 the system would have been in a full long mode and trigger only long trades. After that the cable drops + 3000 to the downside. Wich would result again in a total account burn. The same for Aug 1992 and some more periods that are not that outspoken but would have the same result on the account. One can now say: Those burnings of the account are many years ago. But each particular pair of the 10-12 pairs that are traded have exact same examples and that can be more recent and that would lead to a total burning of the account. As long as one does not encounter a strong reversall like the ones that are mensioned then the risk stays pretty small and the chance that the price will come back sooner or later to its initial entry point is realistic. But the author himself says that at somepoint this year (july) he encountered a drawdown of 65%. He is pointing out to the rectracemets on the daily charts over that period. But if one looks to the monthly charts (wich are taken in calculation for the system) one can hardly see any retracement over that period. But one can spot a lot of far bigger retracements over other periods. So if the month of july of this year leaded to a 65% drawdown, one can only conclude that in retracements that one can realy see on monthly charts, that the accounts would be burned in many cases. If one is speculating on the fact that without these retracements one can make nice profits but neglect the fact that if one would encounter a big retracement period that he could burn his account, then that is more an aproach of a gambler then of a trader ( wich is the background of the author: professional gambling in casinos--wich he stated himself). It is a bit of an all or nothing system. With the only difference that if this system is traded long enough the nothing will happen with 100% certainty if used without a stoploss as the author of this system is strongely sujesting. AND the results of this system used WITH a stoploss have been prooven by many users of this EA. The results were: a very poor hitrate and a gradualy descent of the account till margin calls showed up. This fact must be well known by the author of this system because that is the reason why he strongly sujests to trade without stoplosses. regards..iGoR
__________________
Succes comes with knowledge. Knowledge comes with experience. Experience comes with time and hard work... (iGoR) To avoid a lot of false trades ask yourself the question:...Am I desperatly looking for a trend because I want to trade...or am I taking a trade because the trend is there...(iGoR) Last edited by iGoR : 11-22-2007 at 11:57 AM. |
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Hi Folks
Here is my evaluation and conclusion.This is my final word on Steinitz . The conclusion on the Steinitz E A Every indicator is a lagging signal. and if you have multitime frames you have multi indicators and u have multilagging, therefore all the signals are way lagging after the event. Every indicator included in any trading system will reduce the number of entries for trading.The more indicators you add ,the lesser the profitability of a system.The more filters you have the fewer the trades . The Steinitz MTF is made up of many indicators , each of which will reduce the overall profitability of the Steinitz method.Even if it was possible to backtest the Steinitz system,it is unlikely to ever be hugely profitable.That is the reality There is no way this system will ever beat mediocre trading systems ,let alone be profitable El Cid |
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Support for commercial vendors!
Dear reader
I am sad to say that Don Steinitz do not want to have any connection with forex forums anymore. That includes ForexRobotSupport forum as the official support forum for his EA. ForexRobotSupport forum will contain different commercial EAs in the future and we want you to recommend commercial EAs to discuss within our forum. More information about that can be found at ForexRobotSupport. If you are a founder and/or a vendor of an EA and need support, don't hesitate to contact me for further discussions. We have a forum, a Support Ticket System and FAQ (knowledge base) as services. Thank you Michael Last edited by No1Viking : 11-25-2007 at 06:54 AM. |
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A Word About Risk Management
"Now if you don't use any type of stop loss and trade it like I do then you will not BOOK A LOSS. Look at my website on my performance page. I have 32 years over 4 currencies with 8 years each that have NO LOSSES.
I trade with 10-12 currencies... I risk 1% per pair with 10% total being risked." - Don Steinitz I would suggest that this definition of "risk" is very different from the universally accepted definition of "risk" as applied to Forex trading. In short, the author exhibits no understanding of "risk" whatsoever. Frankly, this is a concept that should be comprehended by every newbie prior ever to launching their first demo trade. How this misunderstanding gets broadcast as part of a marketing appeal is completely bewildering. Apparently the author bases the size of his trades on each pair initially consuming 1% of his account balance. While that is the initial size of each trade - it has NOTHING to do with the commonly accepted definition of "risk." The fact of the matter is that the author's own words advocate using UNLIMITED RISK - which would be entirely consistent with experiencing a 65% drawdown of his account. If his 1% and 10% figures meant anything - his total drawdown would have been 10% or less. So in reality, the author is confusing lot size with risk, and is not attempting to limit his risk at all. It would be appreciated if the author would avoid the temptation of once again telling me that I don't understand the EA, and therefore don't know what I'm talking about. The subject is Risk Management. And your own words make it abundantly clear as to who doesn't know what they're talking about.Last edited by Brent Mack : 11-26-2007 at 12:34 PM. |
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LinkBacks (?)
LinkBack to this Thread: http://www.forex-tsd.com/evaluate-commercial-ideas/10788-evaluation-steinitz-methods.html
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| Posted By | For | Type | Date |
| Профиль Steinitz - 2007è‡ªåŠ¨äº¤æ˜“é”¦æ ‡èµ› | This thread | Refback | 04-21-2008 05:38 PM |
| Profile Steinitz - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 03-28-2008 10:53 PM |
| Профиль Steinitz - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 03-04-2008 11:50 PM |
| Профиль Steinitz - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 12-13-2007 03:02 PM |
| Comments - 2007è‡ªåŠ¨äº¤æ˜“é”¦æ ‡èµ› | This thread | Refback | 12-07-2007 05:17 PM |
| Comments - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 12-04-2007 03:05 PM |
| Комментарии - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 12-04-2007 10:12 AM |
| Profile Steinitz - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 12-04-2007 12:21 AM |
| Comments - 2007è‡ªåŠ¨äº¤æ˜“é”¦æ ‡èµ› | This thread | Refback | 12-03-2007 07:53 PM |
| Комментарии - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 12-03-2007 06:26 PM |
| Comments - Automated Trading Championship 2007 | This thread | Refback | 12-03-2007 06:11 PM |
| commercial: Blogs, Photos, Videos and more on Technorati | This thread | Refback | 11-18-2007 06:35 PM |
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