October 29, 2007 - November 02, 2007
View on USD/JPY: consolidation.
GFSignals team provides a week forecast for USD/JPY
+ 419 pips - this is the trading result our forex signals providers made for the last week.
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The pair shows some consolidation at the 114-shape area. After touching 113.20 level on Monday USD/JPY currency pair recovered a little until the broken out September triangle – a little bit lower than the 115-shape. And now the pair is ready again for the next decline which may lead towards the August low at 111.60.
Last week our second script was fulfilled (30%): Correction fluctuations in the range of 114.00-116.00, though there was a short term break-out down from the range on Monday. But then the course recovered rapidly and was almost back to the 115-shape again. Thus the pair has classically tested the bottom triangle lines from below and now is ready for the next decline. So in the very close future we expect a downward trend towards the August low at 111.60 and probably lower to the 110-shape area. But first a breakout of the local September-October lows at 112.50-113.20 is necessary for that.
Script 1 (40%): A decline towards 111.50-112.50 area (the target is 110.00).
This script is possible after a breakout of the local September-October lows at 112.50-113.20. And it is quite possible a deeper decline.
Script 2 (30%): Correction fluctuations within the 113.20-115.00 range.
It is also very possible to expect correction fluctuations within the 113.20-115.00 range this week. This script development is possible just like the next course rising.
Script 3 (30%): A rising up to 117.00-119.00 area.
If the pair does not go down we will expect it up. After the next rising upper the triangle lines we expect a movement towards the 118.00 area (October high). Then further rise as well as a new rebound down are both possible.
Resistances
115.00 - the triangle lines.
117.90 - October high.
119.90 - August high.
124.10 - June year 2007 high.
Supports
113.20 - October local support.
112.60 - September low.
111.60 - August year 2007 low.
109.00 - May year 2006 low.
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