
01-24-2007, 10:33 AM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 363
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Hi Rico,
Interesting idea you have.
Since I am not completely sure that I understand it clearly in every details of it, would you mind posting an example with figures that would demonstrate your theory?
Quote:
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Originally Posted by alassio
I am using fibo lot sizes with max 6 trades with 5 pips spacing for a t/p of 20 and a s/l of 50. This gives me a high percentage (70%) of successfull trades for EURUSD on M15 charts.
Now my observation is that stop loss is triggered rarely (but costly), but there is practically never a series of losses. This situation is good for using a progression scheme to manage lot size for quick recovery of loser trades.
I am now experimenting with the following scheme (variant of inverse Dahl progression):
- Start with 1x fibo lots per trade
- When there is a loser (stop loss triggered), continue with the following progression (advancing with every winner, restarting with a loser):
1,5,5,3,3,2,2,1.5,1.5,1
- This progression scheme tries to capitalize on the statistical observation that a loser is rarely followed by another loser, but it takes some time until we get hit again.
Regards, Rico
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