Thread: 10points 3.mq4
View Single Post
  #1123 (permalink)  
Old 01-17-2007, 08:53 PM
--Id--'s Avatar
--Id-- --Id-- is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 37
--Id-- is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by davidke20
A few simple idea to make you understand is, if you're in the progression of 5th, current lot size is short 1.6lots, account balance is 5k floating p/l is -3k, NFP came in, move down 160pips... guess what...... BOMB!!!!

Another 1 is, you're down long 1.6lots, account balance is 5k floating p/l -3k, NFP came in, move up 160pips, congratulations! Profit! Account 10% up, what's next? Continue long, keep going and going. Take a look at what happened to 8th December, 2006 NFP.... guess what..... BOMB!!!!

Another 1, you're in good hand, only 1 position in hand with short 0.1 lots. NFP came in, stack up 160pips, with pip step 15....guess what....BOMB!!!!

Just 1 more, you're in good hand, only have 1 position in hand with long 0.1lots. NFP came in, profit all the way up 160pips, great, account up by 6%. Congratulations.... AGAIN! after 2 hour, you're now in good hand long 0.1 still in profit. Bernanke decided to clear throat and reannounce NFP corrections, GBPUSD plunged by 220pips in 1 hour.....guess what....BOMB!!!!

Please refer the above scenario with the chart on 8th December, 2006 NFP day. I can assure you pipstep 15 aint work on that day!!! That is the purpose of forward testing...understand?LOL

Thank you for your post davidke20. My point here is that news, bad or new for this EA, are imprinted on the history bars, aren't they? As tests are run nearly for "every tick", can't we assume news are simulated also, as if the EA were running on those very moments?

I see the impact of news on the EA, but doesn't history account for that?

Thanks.
__________________
If God doesn't exist in our world, then I will create God with my own hands!
Krelian - Xenogears


Reply With Quote