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Old 05-10-2006, 04:00 PM
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Wink Money Management and the Kelly Formula

This is a list of MM links I posted on the MTEI Forum:

Money Management Links and Tidbits:

If you like math try:
http://www.turtletrader.com/kelly.pdf

Seykota Articles:
http://www.seykota.com/tribe/risk/index.htm

If you like simple try the Kelly Formula at the bottom of the Seykota article, It is what I use.
There were a lot of trading systems at Wealth-Lab that used the Risk Of Ruin Code early on in the communities begininng.

"Risk Of Ruin" methodology.
Introduction:
http://www.traderscalm.com/ror.html

Here is a sample from the Knowledge DataBase:
http://www.wealth-lab.com/cgi-bin/We...LL/kbase?id=36

and more....>

http://www.deltat1.com/Education/art...edge/ruin2.htm

RE: Kelly Formula.
I would run my script on 10 different data samples (1000 bars - depends on the time frame) for each currency, and then average the payoff ratio for the Kelly formula.
If the average payoff ratio is less than 1.10, then I don't think you have an edge worth investing in.
If your EA is not profittable on at least 7 of the 10 data samples then I would go back to work on the EA until it is.
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Last edited by Techguy; 05-10-2006 at 04:05 PM.
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