FxBabe:

I think you're on the right track, but today's a bit weird: At the moment the stock market is falling, possibly because of the assassination in Pakastan, and the whole market is relatively thin (so more volatility). Plus, there's probably a lot of end-of-year selling happening - so support and resistance may be a little dicey today.

I entered, myself, at 114.00 earlier this morning, but closed out at breakeven a hour or so later.

Keep it up, though, I think your evaluations are essentially spot on. And, it's nice you're keeping this thread alive.

Ed